Best Picture: While "Brokeback" has been called controversial, it's topped many critics list as best picture of 2005. The film is currently grossing more per screening than any other film in America, and it's already earned $33 million at the box office. That's about three times as much as "Million Dollar Baby" had earned at this time last year. That's also significantly more than several films it's likely to compete against, including "Good Night, and Good Luck," "Capote," "A History of Violence" and "The Squid and the Whale."
"I think there's a good chance that 'Munich' and 'Brokeback Mountain' will be nominated, and you'll see the Academy choosing between controversial films," Miller says.
Other possible candidates, like "Crash" and "Walk the Line," have a reasonable shot at earning a nomination. But that may be as far as they get.
"Big films like 'The Lord of the Rings' have been serious Oscar contenders in recent years," Miller says. "But I don't see 'King Kong' or 'The Chronicles of Narnia' entering into this year's equation. This year is going to be an Oscar contest against smaller films. There was no 'Titanic'.
"It's going to be a dangerous year for gamblers, but a good year for debate."