New Mexico Governor's Race Tests Depth of Voters' Anti-Incumbent Mood

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"If Denish can keep her high level support with Democrats, turn them out, and win over undecided voters, it's difficult to see a clear path to victory for Martinez given the way registered Democrats outnumber registered Republicans in New Mexico," said Democratic pollster Stephen Clermont in a memo to the Denish campaign.

But given the enthusiasm gap seen in several national polls, that could be a big "if."

"Martinez came in with a line that is almost always powerful after eight years of any administration: 'I represent change,'" wrote nonpartisan New Mexico political blogger Joe Monahan on his blog. "Denish has to do more -- much more -- to make New Mexicans feel that change is a threat -- not a relief. She has a month to do it."

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