Compared with other voters, moveables are more likely to be independents and less likely to be following the campaign very closely. These make them a difficult target for the campaigns to reach — and in turn make the high-profile debates all the more important.
Tonight is an opportunity: Nearly three-quarters of moveables, 72 percent, say they plan on watching the vice-presidential debate.
This poll was conducted by telephone Oct. 2-4 among a random national sample of 1,806 adults, including 1,461 registered voters and 1,160 likely voters. The results have a three-point error margin for the likely voter sample. ABC News and The Washington Post are sharing data collection for this tracking poll, then independently applying their own models to arrive at likely voter estimates. Sampling, data collection and tabulation were done by TNS of Horsham, Pa.
See previous analyses in our Poll Vault.