ABC News' The Note: First Source for Political News

"The Kerry camp, we hear, is reinforcing their Wisconsin ground troops with new staff, press people, communications staff in each media market, and some more TV ad dollars and black radio — and they have their work cut out for them. Asked if they were sure about their vote, 81 percent of registered voters said they were pretty sure, and 13 percent said they might change their minds. Among likelies, the numbers are 82 percent sure to 12 percent could change."

Registered Wisconsin voters in the Badger poll gave Bush a 54 percent favorable rating and a 38 percent unfavorable rating. Kerry's fav/unfav numbers are 36/48.

Craig Gilbert of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel rounds up all of the latest polls in Wisconsin, from the ABC News poll, the Badger Poll, and the Gallup poll showing Bush leading Kerry by double digits, but also polls by American Research Group, Mason-Dixon and Zogby showing a 2-point race. LINK

ABC News Vote 2004: the battlegrounds:

The Minneapolis Star Tribune's Sharon Schmickle gives Twin Cities readers analysis of Vietnam's impact on this election. LINK

That's right, so Vietnam is still lingering in at least one target state …

Sen. Kerry's Social Security comments also got play in Minnesota. LINK

Just as Kerry-Edwards was pulling ads out of Arizona yesterday, Teresa Heinz Kerry was out there "wowing" the crowd (according to the headline on the Arizona Republic story) and breaking fundraising records for state-party events in the state. LINK

Despite what the naysayers say, Arizona Dems will not go down without a fight.

The Raleigh News & Observer's Lynn Bonner tries to explain why Edwards was in South Carolina yesterday. LINK

The Des Moines Register 's Tom Beaumont Notes that Edwards will step in for Kerry like in Iowa today … with Colin Van Ostern asserting that Edwards is a very good running mate. LINK

ABC News Vote 2004: casting and counting:

Two studies looking at felon disenfranchisement laws' effect on voting in individual cities has concluded that "those laws have a disproportionate effect on African-Americans because the percentage of black men with felony convictions is much larger than their share of the general population," the New York Times ' Fox Butterfield reports. LINK

Bush's National Guard service and the CBS documents:

Karl Rove denies being behind the fake documents. LINK

Some News of Day articles: LINK and LINK and LINK

Note that last one — in the New York Times — has four sources saying Dan Rather is not in love with the Thornburgh choice.

The Los Angeles Times on the one-two punch delivered to CBS: LINK

"With Respect,": James Pinkerton writes to Dan Rather: answer THESE questions. LINK

Says Bob Novak: "High-level Democrats, including some inside the Kerry campaign, were appalled by this week's political sideshow. Just as John Kerry began finding his voice on Iraq, he was in danger of being drowned out by Democratic operatives Joe Lockhart and Terry McAuliffe. But the Democratic presidential candidate had only himself to blame." LINK

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