The Note: Wherever the Evidence Leads, Part XV

WASHINGTON, Oct. 6

Most important Foley development of the news cycle: the Wall Street Journal's David Rogers (the 436th member of the House) slyly signaling to the world that he believes that former House clerk Jeff Trandahl is the key to the whole case. LINK

Most important non-Foley development of the news cycle: Senator John Warner (R-VA) coming out for a dramatically new direction in Iraq, as a stalking horse for many senior military leaders and Jim Baker's Iraq Study Group (which some say has secretly already made up its mind about recommending a dramatically new direction in Iraq -- after the election).

(Note: as Haley Barbour would say, Jim Baker was born at night, but it wasn't last night.) Most important non-Foley development of the news cycle which might or might not be true: Susan Page of USA Today reports in the lede of the Nation's Newspaper on the continuing tight Senate races around the country that has Democrats gaining momentum, and positioning them for majority control. LINK

Most unimportant partisan fight of the news cycle: the two parties fighting over the meaning of Friday's employment figures.

President Bush, part of the Rashomon kabuki, participates in a roundtable discussion and then speaks about job growth and the economy at the FedEx Express building in Washington, DC at 10:20 am ET. The president then delivers remarks at the Hispanic Heritage Month celebration at 2:55 pm ET at the White House.

As for that Department of Labor report on jobs out this morning, "Employers add 51,000 jobs during September. This is well below the consensus estimate of 125,000, but there were upward revisions in previous months that added some 60,000 jobs," reports ABC News' Dan Arnall.

More Arnall: "The nation's unemployment rate ticked down a tenth of a percent to 4.6%. That's a move, but a statistically insignificant one."

At this writing, none of the Republican House leaders are known to have public schedules today or plans to make news.

Vice President Cheney speaks at a luncheon for congressional candidate Vern Buchanan (R-FL) at 1:30 pm ET in Sarasota, FL. He then travels to Williamsburg, Virginia to attend a dinner and reception honoring the christening of Aircraft Carrier George H.W. Bush. That event takes place at 6:10 pm ET

RNC Chairman Ken Mehlman campaigns with Rep. Dave Reichert (WA-8) at 8:00 pm ET in Bellevue, WA.

Sen. Barack Obama (D-IL) attends a rally for gubernatorial candidate Jim Davis (D-FL) at 12:30 pm ET at Florida Memorial University in Miami Gardens.

Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) is in South Carolina taking part in a rally called "Support Our Troops and Salute our Veteran," at 5:30 pm ET at Veterans Memorial Duncan Park in Spartanburg, SC.

Gov. Mitt Romney (R-MA) is the featured guest at a fundraiser for Georgia GOP lieutenant governor nominee Casey Cagle (R-GA) at a closed press event at 11:45 am ET in Atlanta, Georgia.

Gov. George Pataki (R-NY) presents a flag that flew over Ground Zero to first responder at 3:00 pm ET at the Hilton Head Fire Department in Hilton Head, SC. Pataki then attends two private fundraisers, one for South Carolina comptroller general Richard Eckstrom, and then at 4:00 pm ET Pataki and then at 6:00 pm ET for Sen. Jim DeMint (R-SC).

Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich (R-GA) lectures at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library and Museum at 3:30 pm ET in Simi Valley, CA.

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