The Note: Everything Is Relational

WASHINGTON, Oct. 9

One serious issue that could impact the midterms decisively replaces another one in blotting out the news cycle. Analysis of which side that benefits is at once impossible and too simple.

So: Knowing who will have control of the House and the Senate after the midterm elections is easy.

All it requires is a basic understanding of some important relationships:

James A Baker 3d's relationship with 43.

David Roger's relationship with Jeff Trandahl.

Republican media consultants' relationship with restraint.

Howard Berman's relationship with partisanship.

Kim Il Jong's relationship with reality.

Rahm Emanuel's relationships with Howard Dean, Michael Whouley, and anger management.

Tom Reynolds' relationship with compartmentalization.

Big Labor's relationship with modernity.

Nancy Pelosi's relationship with opposition research.

Nancy Pelosi's relationship with semiotics.

Voters' relationships with the hunger for a higher minimum wage and more access to gaming.

In the wake of North Korea announcing that it has tested a nuclear weapon, the United Nations Security Council meets at 9:30 am ET and President Bush speaks at 9:45 am ET.

The New York Times' David Sanger reports that North Korea's Sunday night announcement makes it the eight country in history, "and arguably the most unstable and most dangerous, to proclaim that it has joined the club of nuclear weapons states." LINK

There will be no White House briefing today. But there will be a gaggle at some point.

From what we know, House Speaker Dennis Hastert (R-IL), Rep. Tom Reynolds (R-NY) and the rest of the key players in the Foley story do not have public events today.

Sen. Hillary Clinton (D-NY) joins the New York State Attorney General candidate, Andrew Cuomo (D-NY) at a joint press appearance with Italian American leaders at the Columbus Day Parade at 11:30 am ET in New York, NY.

Sen. George Allen (R-VA) debates the Democratic challenger Jim Webb at 8:00 pm ET in Richmond, VA.

Karl Rove is in Oklahoma helping Rep. Ernest Istook (R-OK) raise money for his run for Oklahoma governor. The fundraiser begins at 6:30 pm ET.

Former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani attends a fundraiser for the Republican candidate for Oregon Governor Ron Saxon at the Portland Art Museum at 4:30 pm ET in Portland, OR.

ABC News and the Washington Post have a poll on Foley, Iraq, and the approaching midterms coming out later today. Be sure to check ABC's "Political Radar" on the politics page of ABCNews.com at 5:00 pm ET. Then tune into "World News with Charles Gibson" at 6:30 pm ET for analysis. LINK

Foley: Kolbe knew of Foley emails in 2000:

In a must-read, the Washington Post's Jonathan Weisman reports that Rep. Jim Kolbe (R-AZ) knew of Foley's inappropriate Internet exchanges as far back as 2000 and personally confronted Foley about his communications. Last week, when the Foley matter erupted, a Kolbe staff member suggested to the former page that he take the matter to the clerk of the House. LINK

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