The Note: Pending: Six Days of November Surprises

Want to know what Barack Obama's chances are of getting elected president in 2008?

Click here. LINK

The Way to Win: Taking the White House in 2008, by Mark Halperin of ABC News and John F. Harris of the Washington Post was described thusly by the very savvy Rocky Mountain News:

"Deep analysis of the trade secrets any contender will need to secure the highest office in the land. . . brilliant research. . . .insider details . . . far deeper than what readers can pick up from mainstream news sources. This is a window into the back room shenanigans politicians and their hired hands use to win elections, dirty tricks and all. Grade: A." LINK

To buy a copy of the book that is being read by everyone interested in who the next president will be, click here. LINK

Bush Administration agenda:

Jim Rutenberg and Sheryl Gay Stolberg of the New York Times write up President Bush's (Karl's, Ken's, and Sara's too) efforts to remain optimistic about his party's chances for victory on November 7. LINK

It is a must read.

"Mr. Rove has told associates that the party's turnout machinery, through which the White House will continue to pump an unrelenting message against Democrats on taxes and terrorism, gives Republicans an advantage of four to seven percentage points in any given race. Though Democrats call that too generous, they acknowledge that it accounts for at least a few percentage points."

"Mr. Rove and Ms. Taylor are said by associates to have spent hours going through data on volunteer efforts, voter registration tallies and financial matchups between candidates throughout the states, and they see a path to victory."

However, "a strategist close to the White House said Mr. Bush's own political team had polling that showed as many as 14 House seats were probably already lost to Democrats, just one shy of the 15 seats they need to gain to win control," write Rutenberg and Stolberg.

"Though White House aides said that account was exaggerated, they acknowledged that polls have shown at least that many races with Democrats leading Republicans."

Newsweek's Howard Fineman is not the least bit surprised that President Bush refuses to accept defeat as an option. LINK

Bush chides father for election remarks:

In an interview with ABC News' George Stephanopoulos that aired Sunday, President Bush "gently admonished his father for saying he hates to think what life would be like for his son if the Democrats win control of Congress in the November 7 election," Reuters reports. LINK

"'He shouldn't be speculating like this, because -- he should have called me ahead of time and I'd tell him they're not going to (win),' a smiling Bush told ABC 'This Week' in an interview broadcast on Sunday."

As Michelle Dubert reported Oct. 5 on ABC's Political Radar, former President George H.W. Bush warned of a "ghastly" future for his son and other Americans if "wild Democrats" were to take over Congress. LINK

"'I would hate to think what Arlen's life would be like, what Rick's life would be like, and what my son's life would be like if we lose control of the Congress,' said former President George Bush in a reference to Pennsylvania's two Republican Senators. 'If we have some of these wild Democrats in charge of these committees, it will be a ghastly thing for our country.'"

Former President Bush made his comments while campaigning for Sen. Rick Santorum (R-PA) in the Philadelphia suburbs.

2006: landscape:

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