The Note: Pending: Six Days of November Surprises

On Sunday, Adam Nagourney and Robin Toner of the New York Times looked at a somewhat foreign emotion being exhibited by Democrats this election season -- optimism with regard to their chances for victory. LINK

Charles Babington and Dan Balz reported in Sunday's Washington Post that despite the fact that Senate Democratic Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) said last year that it would take "a miracle" for Democrats to regain the Senate, the chances are looking increasingly favorable for them to do just that. LINK

"Best GOP Hope: Scare 'Em Silly," reads the headline above Dick Morris' column in the New York Post, in which Morris says all is not lost for the Republicans, if they run the TV spot he sketches out. LINK

To try to determine if a Blue wave is truly upon us, Newsweek's Jonathan Alter went to New Jersey's seventh congressional district where Rep. Mike Ferguson (R-NJ) is running against Democrat Linda Stender. Alter came away uncertain about what November holds. LINK

The New York Daily News' Bazinet writes of how both parties have put a lot of eggs into the suburban Philadelphia basket this cycle. LINK

The Washington Times on Democratic efforts to catch up with Republicans on GOTV. LINK

With national polls showing trouble for Republicans across the country, GOP candidates are turning to taxes and security, their bread and butter issue. Catherine Dodge of Bloomberg news has the story. LINK

Maureen Groppe of the Indianapolis Star examines the loss of Indiana's "clout" if the Democrats win back the House and the Senate resulting in the loss of five chairmanships currently held by Republicans. LINK

The Republican National Committee is following up its terrorism related web video, "The Stakes," with the other GOP message pillar today. "Tax Man," a web video directed by Hollywood filmmaker David Zucker, drives home the Republican message that if Democrats gain control of the House, they will raise taxes by $2.4 trillion.

The RNC plans to blast email the video to its list of millions of supporters and grassroots activists later today. You can see the web video at LINK

2006: House:

Geoff Earle of the New York Post reports Rep. Peter King (R-NY) -- who has not been considered an endangered incumbent this year -- "plans to empty his $1.6 million campaign war chest by Election Day -- a sign that the senior lawmaker is sweating his race in a dicey year for the GOP." LINK

In Sunday's Washington Post, Steve Hendrix had a friend of DCCC Chairman Rahm Emmanuel (D-IL) describing him as being "like Lyndon Johnson, who finished almost every campaign in a hospital bed. As someone from Texas, I don't make that comparison lightly, but Rahm just may be our skinny, nine-fingered, Jewish, Chicago version of LBJ." LINK

Bravo to Hendrix for minimizing the number of cliches in this Rahmbo profile, and for going to Manny's with the Chairman.

The South Florida battle between a Republican incumbent who has served 26 years in the House and his 49 year old Democratic opponent who has raised more money than any other Democratic challenger this cycle is one of the most watched House contests heading into Election Day. Abby Goodnough of the New York Times has this look at FL-22: LINK

USA Today's Martin Kasindorf takes a closer look at Reps. Richard Pombo and John Doolittle, both Golden State GOP congressmen, running for reelection, find themselves in hot water. LINK

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