Clinton Faces Setback on Delegates

Hillary Clinton is not going to get what she wants -- that's the headline coming out of the memo that DNC lawyers sent members of the Rules and Bylaws Committee this week.

Democratic sources tell ABC News that the Rules and Bylaws Committee is not going to give Clinton the full undiluted seating of Florida and Michigan's delegations.

Instead, the DNC panel is likely to impose a 50 percent sanction on the two states' delegates. Under this scenario, Clinton will see a net gain in delegates (somewhere between 15 and 28 net pledged delegates for the two states combined).

But it won't be enough for her to overtake Obama.

Truth be told: "Even if she were awarded all the delegates in proportion to her popular vote in those states -- her best-case scenario -- she could not overtake Senator Obama's delegate lead," writes the New York Times' Kit Seelye.

Giving the Florida and Michigan delegates half a vote "would raise the bar" for Barack Obama: it would increase the number of overall delegates he needs to get the nomination by about 25 or 35.

How far would that leave him from clinching the Democratic Party nod?

"Today, he's 45 delegates away," said ABC News' George Stephanopoulos on the Wednesday edition of "World News with Charles Gibson." "That will probably bring it up to about 70 or 80 delegates away. In primaries in South Dakota and other places, he's likely to cut that in half. He's going to need about three dozen or four dozen superdelegates. He's almost certain to get it next week. Maybe even Tuesday night or Wednesday."

TiVo Alert

Former White House Press Secretary Scott McClellan hits the television circuit on Thursday to promote "What Happened: Inside the Bush White House and Washington's Culture of Deception." He starts on NBC's "Today," then makes his way to MSNBC's "Countdown with Keith Obermann." He appears Friday on CNN's "Situation Room."

The Kicker

"I got that from Talladega Nights."

--Gov. Tim Pawlenty, R-Minn., on having referred to Mrs. Mary Pawlenty as his "red-hot smoking wife" at the RNC's August 2006 summer meeting. The NGA chairman and McCain veep prospect made his comments to ABC News on Wednesday morning.

On the campaign front. . .


-- No public events scheduled, Chicago, IL


-- 1:00 pm ET: Attends rally with voters, Huron, SD

-- 5:00 pm ET: Attends rally with voters, Watertown, SD

As for the Republicans. . .


-- 5:30 pm ET: Attends town hall meeting with voters, Greendale, WI

-- 7:00 pm ET: Attends finance reception, Milwaukee, WI

At the White House. . .


-- 10:35 am ET: Meets with First Presidency of the Church of Jesus of Latter-Day Saints, Salt Lake City, UT

-- 3:45 pm ET: Attends a Nick Jordan for Congress and Kansas Victory Reception, Bucyrus, KS


-- 7:00 pm ET: Speaks at the New York Republican State Committee Dinner, New York, NY


-- 7:00 pm ET: Delivers commencement address to the graduating class of Enterprise High School, Enterprise, AL.


-- 8:30 am ET: Commerce Department releases the Gross Domestic Product report for the 1st quarter.


ABC News' Russell Goldman: Bush Under Fire From Former Aide LINK

ABC News' Jake Tapper: Clinton Battles On, McCain and Obama Battle Each Other LINK

ABC News' Gary Langer: Gay Marriage: The California Question LINK

ABC News' Jake Tapper: As Scottie Sowed, So Is He Reaping LINK

ABC News' Brett Hovel: McCain: Obama Needs To 'Listen and Learn' LINK

ABC News' Jake Tapper: Rachel Ray's Scarf Arouses Conservative Ire LINK

ABC News' Sunlen Miller: Obama Camp Looks Past DNC Meeting To November LINK

ABC News' Jake Tapper: Gallup Analysis: Clinton Has Swing State Advantage LINK

ABC News' Sarah Amos: Bill Clinton: Hillary Can Still Win As The 'Popular Choice of Democrats' LINK

ABC News' Jake Tapper: McClellan: Media During Run-Up To Iraq Were "Complicit Enablers" LINK

ABC News' Teddy Davis and Gregory Wallace: Rendell: Obama 'Rivals' Reference No Accident LINK

ABC News' Jake Tapper: Has The General Election Begun? LINK

ABC News' Rick Klein: Rendell: Clinton 'Very Unlikely To Win' LINK

ABC News' Jake Tapper: McClellan On Bush's Version of the Truth: From Cocaine Rumors to Destructive Partisan Warfare LINK

ABC News' Eloise Harper: Clinton Ignores Press at Mt. Rushmore LINK

ABC News' Jake Tapper: A Touch Of Hyperbole? LINK


McClellan Lashes Out
A book by McClellan causes commotion in the W.H. and among Bush loyalists. LINK

McClellan Stresses Book's 'Important Message'
Fmr. Bush aide talks briefly about his new book on the Bush administration. LINK

Obama Proposes 'Team of Rivals' Cabinet
Sen. Obama: "Whoever is the best person for the job is the person I want." LINK

McClellan Describes 'What Happened'
The former aid believes Bush "veered terribly off course." LINK

Israeli Prime Minister's Fate in Question
Critics doubt Olmert's ability to focus on affairs of state amid scandal. LINK

Friendly Fire
Scott McClellan's book takes a shot at President Bush. LINK

McCain: 'McSame' as Bush? Arizona senator may be trying to distance himself from the unpopular president. LINK

Has the Election Begun?
Obama is now campaigning in states he'll need for the general election. LINK

Carville's Take
The Democratic strategist discusses why Clinton won't quit. LINK

Kimmel: Bush Disappoints World Leaders
A comment by the president provides the "Unintentional Joke of the Day." LINK

Kimmel: The Dream Ticket
A bogus campaign ad makes the case for putting Clinton in the White LINK