GOTV vs. MOTIVATION -- In the end it's about turnout, and while their prospects are slim, the Democrats are keeping pace in get-out-the-vote efforts; as many likely voters say they've been asked by a campaign organization to vote for a Democratic candidate as to vote for a Republican.
But asking for a vote is less powerful than being self-motivated to deliver it, and there clearly rests the Republican advantage. A quarter of likely voters are not only dissatisfied with the way the government is working but downright angry about it. The last time there were as many angry voters was in 1994, when they favored Republican candidates by 60-32 percent, enough to power the party to control of Congress.
Today, angry voters favor Republican House candidates by an even broader margin, 80-13 percent. And, come Tuesday, among those who are angry about the way the federal government is working, seven in 10 say they're certain to vote.
METHODOLOGY -- This ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted by telephone Oct. 25-28, 2010, among a random national sample of 1,202 adults, including landline and cell-phone-only respondents. Results have a margin of sampling error of 3 points for the full sample, 3.5 points for registered voters and 4 points for likely voters. Click here for a detailed description of sampling error. This survey was produced for ABC News by Langer Research Associates of New York, N.Y, with sampling, data collection and tabulation by TNS of Horsham, Pa.
ABC News polls can be found at ABCNEWS.com at http://abcnews.com/pollingunit