MNF Chaser: How to bet SF-WAS

It's been a disappointing season for the 3-7 Washington Redskins, who host the 6-4 San Francisco 49ers on "Monday Night Football."  Both teams enter the game on two-game losing streaks, and both are dealing with plenty of turmoil.

On the Redskins' side, it starts with Robert Griffin III. The second-year QB simply hasn't been as good as he was last season. While a lot of that can be attributed to his return from an ACL injury, RG III's numbers are down across the board. His QBR is 45.2 (23rd in the NFL), he has lost 193 yards on sacks (28th) and he already has thrown 10 INTs, compared to six all of last season. However, the Redskins' Alfred Morris -led rushing game has been prolific, leading the NFL with more than 155 yards a game on the ground and 5.06 yards per carry. The bigger issue for the Redskins is that RG III's comments could divide this locker room. And that's something that a team can't come back from.

For the 49ers, it's about getting back to basics -- like completing passes. The 49ers' passing game has become downright ugly without Michael Crabtree and with Vernon Davis banged up the past couple of games. In the 49ers' two consecutive losses entering tonight's contest, Colin Kaepernick is 28 for 53 for only 161 yards passing, 41 yards rushing, two TDs and two INTs. Over the entire season, the 49ers rank dead last in the NFL with 168 passing yards per game.

The 49ers were tied for the best ATS record at 7-3 coming into Week 11, and opened as 5.5-point favorites, while the Redskins entered the weekend 3-7 ATS. The public is all over the 49ers in this one, betting them at a clip of 80 percent, according to ESPN Insider's PickCenter.

Let's now turn to analysis of the line and total from Jay Kornegay of the Las Vegas Hotel and an ATS pick on the game from Insider's group of Vegas handicappers.


Matchup: San Francisco 49ers at Washington Redskins


Spread: Opened at 49ers minus-5; now still at 49ers minus-5
Total: Opened at 48; now 47.5

Jay Kornegay says: "The 49ers opened a 5-point road favorite over the Redskins last Sunday. San Francisco money showed up and pushed the line to minus-6 by midweek. At that point, Redskins money finally made its way to the betting counters and the line dropped to minus-4.5 on Friday. We've seen a steady stream of action on this game, with the majority of the smaller plays coming on San Francisco. The current line stands at minus-5 and expect both teams to get support, keeping the line close to its current number.

"The total also received decent play on both sides after opening up at 48. The number fell to 47 but since then has settled in at 47.5."

Prediction: Line should remain around 49ers minus-5.

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