The Panthers served notice last year by wasting No. 4 and No. 5 seeds on the way to the Sweet 16. This year, they take out a No. 6 (Oklahoma) before Florida gets them, 73-65, in Round 2.
29. NORTH CAROLINA STATE
NC State has done next to nothing down the stretch, but neither has Cal. The Wolfpack are no match for Texas in Dallas, however, taking a second-round exit by a 76-67 count.
28. UNC WILMINGTON
The Seahawks are no stranger to winning in the NCAAs. But a second-round date with Duke in Greensboro will be their Waterloo, 82-67. Enjoy the "upset" of George Washington.
Normally, I'd say the Badgers could give Villanova trouble in the second round. But not in Philly, and not with a 2-8 road record. Wisconsin loses 75-63.
Have the Wildcats proved they can beat a very good team? The answer doesn't bode well for playing very, very good UConn in the second round. UK can't keep up offensively in a 75-65 defeat.
If any team knocks off a No. 1 seed early, it would be Arkansas over Memphis. The Hogs have size and versatility, but not quite enough on the perimeter. Razorbacks go 1-1 in Dallas, losing to the Tigers 70-65.
This Wolf Pack is better than the other Wolfpack, but it's not a great draw in the second round. Nick Fazekas & Co. are outmuscled by the Boston College front line, falling 74-66.
A dramatic and unlikely ride has to end somewhere. 'Cuse wins one more game before losing in the paint to LSU, 74-69. Thanks for the memories, Gerry.
This seed is way too low, and the result is an unnecessarily difficult matchup with Kansas in the second round. The young Jayhawks are too much for the young Panthers, 72-62.
The Hawkeyes made a very nice run in the Big Ten tournament. The Hawkeyes also aren't nearly as gifted as West Virginia. Mountaineers might even be favored as a lower seed on the way to a 70-66 victory.
The Zags really need a Sweet 16 run to validate the last three years, but they're going to fall short yet again. Indiana's defense frustrates Morrison in a mini-upset, 75-72.
19. NORTH CAROLINA
I'm hardly an ACC guy, but there's no way the Tar Heels should have been bypassed for Greensboro in favor of the Vols. And no way should they be playing Michigan State in Big Ten country. Heels could be Final Four-bound next year, but this tourney ends in the second round, 80-73.
These Bruins are a tad overseeded, and the Pac-10 this year was truly mediocre. If Marquette can manhandle UConn in a Big East game, the Golden Eagles can get past UCLA in San Diego. Bruins last only a round before falling, 74-68.
17. OHIO STATE
It's dicey to pick against Ohio State in Dayton, but Georgetown has enough talent inside to neutralize Terence Dials. Buckeyes last only two rounds before the Hoyas send them back to Columbus, 78-75.
16. WICHITA STATE
The Shockers are the most dangerous team from the Missouri Valley. They got a good draw, and absolutely can win two games. I don't see Wichita State losing until the Sweet 16, where the Spartans win 68-61.
I'd be even more confident about the Hoyas as a Sweet 16 team if they didn't have to go through Ohio State in Dayton. But I still think Georgetown makes it to the regionals before bowing out against Florida, 65-59.