The Golden Eagles have begun to prove their mettle away from home. I also think Steve Novak can shoot them past UCLA and into the Sweet 16. Indiana ends their season in Oakland, though, 71-65.
13. WEST VIRGINIA
WVU is dangerous enough to repeat last year's Elite Eight run. But the Mountaineers will come up against Texas for a second time, and with a similar result. Longhorns advance, 79-75.
It has been some second half of the season for the young Jayhawks, who could be a No. 1 seed next year. This group plays to its seed before coming up short against more experienced Memphis in the Oakland regional, losing 80-74.
11. BOSTON COLLEGE
The Eagles did everything except beat Duke in a pair of meetings this year. Can they get over the hump against former Big East rival Villanova in the Sweet 16? I don't think their guard play is strong enough. BC goes home by a 75-71 count.
Not sure why the Illini are seeded here, and even less sure why they are being discounted. If anyone can take down UConn in this region, it's Illinois. UConn prevails, but only by 69-63.
Eight No. 1 seeds in nine years is the accomplishment of the modern era in college basketball. But the Blue Devils have been looking vulnerable of late, and LSU can make trouble as a physical matchup in the Sweet 16. Duke comes up short of the Final Four for a second straight year, 74-68.
8. MICHIGAN STATE
For whatever reason, the whole has not been equal to the sum of State's individual parts. The Spartans pull it together for three wins in the D.C. regional before falling to UConn 81-73.
The Hoosiers could win the Oakland Regional or go down in the first round. I'll split the difference and put IU in the regional final, where Memphis has too many weapons in a 71-65 victory.
The ride ends for the Bayou Bengals in the Elite Eight in Atlanta. Texas finally puts it together when it matters most, 76-74 for the regional championship.
Can't put my finger on it, but I have a bad feeling about a possible rematch with Florida after the Cats nipped the Gators last year in the second round. Villanova's great season ends in the Elite Eight, 75-70.
The Gators seem to have regained their early-season swagger. Two games in Jacksonville should continue their momentum and provide enough confidence to win two more in Minneapolis. The party ends at the Final Four when UConn explodes in a 91-80 track meet.
It wouldn't surprise me to see Memphis play on Monday night, but if Texas can beat these Tigers on the road, the Longhorns should be able to repeat their success on a neutral floor. This one is closer, but Memphis falls a game short, 76-72.
Almost all of this depends on Daniel Gibson, who can be, well, erratic. When the Longhorns are clicking, though, they play at the Duke/UConn level. All the pieces are in place for a long, long stay in the tourney, as well as a title-game loss to the Huskies, 81-76.
Ever notice how the team that wins the NCAA title usually has the most future NBA players? This isn't about Jim Calhoun's getting a third championship as much as it is the nation's best talent winning the final game.
Joe Lunardi is the resident Bracketologist for ESPN.com.