Transcript for Roundtable III: Election Predictions
prediction I predict a pass because I'm anchoring on tuesday night. You can't pass. George will, you go first. I forgot my exact number. I guess you have a graphic here. I guess the wild card in what i projected I'm projects minnesota to go to romney. To romney the only state of the union. Mondale held it when reagan was getting 49 states. The only state that's voted democratic in nine consecutive elections. But this year, there's a marriage amendment on the ballot that will bring out the evangelicals. And I think they'll make the difference. I think I said 294 for obama. And that's because I didn't give him colorado. He couldn't get them all. At some point, the law of averages kick in. But I did give him virginia. Iowa, I don't think we could call a big state. I believe obama will win the narrowest margin of popular vote victory for any re-elected president. In the electoral college, I have him at 288. The one thing that I feel strongest on, nevada, wisconsin, ohio, romney hasn't shown that he can break through there. I have electoral college similar. 303 for barack obama. That's been a stable number. The one thing -- I also predicted a very, very close win on to popular vote. I'm not as confident in that as I am in the electoral college. There's still a chance that it's divided. Particularly in new york and new jersey, maybe not getting to the polls. I think I gave president obama 313. I have been going back and forth between 303 and 313. I'm still worried about some clearly, north carolina. The other thing that, in order for mitt romney to win, he has to have a large turnout on tuesday, and 6 out of 10 people voting must support him just to overcome the huge numbers that president obama has wracked up. I believe that president obama will eke it out barely. It's going to be a tight race. Very quickly 20 seconds left. Anybody see republicans taking control of the senate? No. I think they pick up two seats or one, depending on how the caucus is. I predict that the next presidential race starts wednesday. For all of you at home go to abcnews.Com/thisweek to submit your predictions. Tune in next sunday to see got it right. Plus, donna and matt are standing by to answer your questions on twitter. And now, we honor our fellow americans who serve and sacrifice. This week, the pentagon released the names of two service members killed in afghanistan. And we'll be right back with a look ahead to this week. ] person goals and only hopes to achieve them. So you'll be happy to know that when it comes to your investment goals, Northern Trust USES AWARD-WINNING EXPERTISE
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