STEPHANOPOULOS: So a lot of tilling of the ground. Congressman, let me bring this back to you, though, because it does seem that there's a brewing potential civil war inside the Republican Party. You heard Sarah Palin last night say she was on the side of team Rand Paul versus Chris Christie.
GOHMERT: There's a lot of competition out there. And with regard to the Democratic side, I seem to remember in 2007, this was Hillary's nomination. Obama may run just so he'll be ready in 2016. The point being you never know. And I think that's true where we are with the Republicans.
I don't think you could say. I mean, I would never have predicted that somebody named McCain would be -- end up being the nominee after 2007, when the story was at one point he was so low he had to carry his own bags. But I also don't think you should underestimate the power Iowa has to attract people to the state fair of the fried butter. It is incredible. It is absolutely incredible.
STEPHANOPOULOS: You have an excellent point.
WILL: I think Republicans have a lot of experience with civil war. 1912, Roosevelt and Taft split. 1964, the Rockefellers and -- oops, excuse me, Goldwater. But what Republicans need to bear in mind is one number, and it's 242. There are 18 states and the District of Colombia have voted Democratic in six consecutive elections going back to '92. If a Democrat holds that base, that candidate spends the fall looking for 28 electoral votes. They got 242 in those states, and they'll find them.
CASTRO: I think what's most problematic for Republicans is at this point is they seem to be taken right now by the Tea Party, more extreme base, so the candidates that are most appealing right now are the Ted Cruzes, the Rand Pauls, those folks. And I think if they nominate somebody like that, it will be 1964 all over again. Because that's just not where the majority of Americans are.
STEPHANOPOULOS: Is that your fear, Congressman?
GOHMERT: Not really. I mean, when I go to the Tea Parties, I see people from all races, ages, genders. The thing they have in common is they're paying income tax. And I don't think you should rule out District of Columbia voting for a Republican if we'll go ahead and pass my bill that ends the unfairness for D.C. in their income tax. They don't have a full voting member of Congress.
GOHMERT: So get rid of their income tax. The Gohmert bill.
WILL: The Pew survey says that 84 percent of Tea Party voters vote in primaries. They are intense, they're organized, and they come out to vote. And that's going to matter. Particularly in Iowa, if you have a crowded Republican field, and Rand Paul starts with his father's consistency, in a crowded field, that's a plurality there.
BRAZILE: But the Tea Party is like a controlled wildfire that is now burning the Republican Party, especially the Republican Party establishment. So I don't know if the Tea Party is good for the Republican Party in 2016, given the fact that it has narrowed the base of the party.
STEPHANOPOULOS: And it's igniting an immediate confrontation.
CASTRO: Yeah, and I think that's why, George, I really think they have about one or two more election cycles where they can continue like this, otherwise the in-fighting is getting so severe that I just don't see how you sustain that.