538 partnered with PerryUndem to conduct focus groups with undecided swing-state voters and delve deeper into how they're thinking about the state of our democracy.

Polls suggest Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania will be pivotal states for Biden's chances of winning the Electoral College.

In the second episode of our miniseries "Campaign Throwback," we get to the bottom of how suburban women became a political obsession.

538 breaks down the key primaries in Maryland, Nebraska and West Virginia.

As a rural dog owner, I know Kristi Noem's story is far from normal.

In the Indiana primaries, it's the establishment GOP versus the tea party in multiple House seats.

Despite campus protests over Israel's war with Hamas, polls find that young people rank other issues, like the economy, as much more important to their vote in November.

U.S. representatives are increasingly cutting their congressional careers off early.

Voters aren't happy with Biden's handling of the economy, but can't really explain why.

A 538 analysis of the unspoken caucuses in the U.S. House of Representatives, based on voting data from the 118th Congress.

Polls on Donald Trump's hush money trial, student protests over the war in Gaza, and marijuana legalization.

Will Democrats' divisions on Israel boost The Squad's primary challengers?

How 538’s new 2024 presidential general election polling averages work.

How 538 decides which polls to include in its aggregation and models.

Keystone State voters are setting the table for a slate of key elections in November.

How do political pollsters protect against spam and bad-faith actors in their polls?

America’s governors are popular, but just how popular?

538 breaks down the latest presidential, Senate and House fundraising reports.

The gap between Democrats and Republicans makes claims of a "uniparty" hard to swallow.

Nebraska is only the latest to weigh changing its Electoral College system.

Joe Biden is polling better than Donald Trump among voters who turn out more often.

Will President Joe Biden get credit for canceling billions in student loans?

As Trump announces his plan on abortion, can you guess what Americans think about abortion and reproductive rights?

Congress has increasingly turned to repeated stopgap bills to punt funding deadlines.

Explore possible 2024 election outcomes with 538's Swing-O-Matic interactive.

History indicates that a running mate announcement will happen just before the national convention.

It's unusual for both presidential candidates to be this disliked. But history shows that favorability doesn't always predict the winner in November.

Is Larry Hogan popular enough to flip a Senate seat in solidly blue Maryland for the GOP?

538's polling column examines Americans' opinions on IVF and abortion access, Trump and Biden's job approval ratings and college athlete unionization.

538's preview of the Ohio, Illinois and California primaries on March 19, 2024.

No, Nikki Haley is not going to run as a third-party candidate against Joe Biden and Donald Trump.

Early polls show President Joe Biden losing to former President Donald Trump. Does that matter?

An exclusive new poll of LGBTQ+ voters finds wide support for Joe Biden, but more moderate political views.

Why Joe Biden's State of the Union address might not matter.

Nikki Haley's presidential campaign revealed divisions in the Republican Party.

Donald Trump has a strong polling lead on Super Tuesday, but Nikki Haley might have a shot in a few states.

538's preview of the Senate and House primaries in California and Alabama on March 5.

538's preview of the Senate, House and gubernatorial primaries in North Carolina and Texas on March 5.

They're a small voting bloc, but Democrats can't take their support for granted. Plus, takeaways from the uncommitted campaign in Michigan.

538 has new primary polling averages for Senate races in California, Ohio and West Virginia.