Golden Globes 2018: Predicting the winners

— -- The Golden Globe Awards may have a different temperament this year -- think stars dressed in black and host Seth Meyers addressing the elephant in the room -- but in the end, it's about who takes home the prize.

"I suspect there’s going to be a lot of people bringing up the state of the industry," Joey Moser, senior contributor for Awards Daily, told ABC News. "It's one of the first big platforms where stars can address it directly."

From the show's promos, it does not appear that Seth Meyers will be shrinking away from the wave of sexual harassment and assault allegations that has roiled Hollywood either.

"I think it’s going to be there," Moser said. "But it would be very different if Ricky Gervais were hosting. Everyone would be on their toes. But Seth will approach everything very deliberately and with care."

How Meyers and the stars will respond to the #MeToo movement is not the only thing up in the air. Moser said with no obvious frontrunners in either the film or TV categories, "everyone is talking about how unpredictable this year is. Couple that with a history of the Golden Globes doing whatever they want and it should be a great show."

The Golden Globe Awards will air live on Sunday from the Beverly Hilton Hotel.

Here are Moser's predictions for the winners:

TELEVISION

Best TV series, drama

The Crown

Game of Thrones

Stranger Things

This Is Us

The Handmaid’s Tale

"'The Handmaid's Tale' is a 'shoo-in to win,'" Moser predicted.

Best actor in a TV Series, drama

Sterling K. Brown, This Is Us

Freddie Highmore, The Good Doctor

Bob Odenkirk, Better Call Saul

Liev Schreiber, Ray Donovan

Jason Bateman, Ozark

Moser called Brown the "logical choice" for his performance in the NBC series "This Is Us." But, he added, "I would watch out for Highmore in 'The Good Doctor.' He's the riskier choice."

Best actress in a TV series, drama

Caitriona Balfe, Outlander

Claire Foy, The Crown

Maggie Gyllenhaal, The Deuce

Elisabeth Moss, The Handmaid’s Tale

Katherine Langford, 13 Reasons Why

Like the series she leads, Moser believes Elisabeth Moss will win the Globe. "I don’t think there’s anybody who can beat her," he said, with the exception of Gyllenhaal, who received the sole nomination from her HBO series "The Deuce."

Best TV series, comedy

Black-ish

The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel

Master of None

Will & Grace

SMILF

Like many critics this year, Moser has jumped aboard "The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel" train. "I predict it's going to win for couple of reasons," he said. "It's about a woman finding her own voice at a time when women's voices were being ignored. And Globe voters love Amazon shows. At least in the last five or six years, they have shown their love for Amazon."

Best actor in a TV series, comedy

Anthony Anderson, Black-ish

Eric McCormack, Will & Grace

Aziz Ansari, Master of None

Kevin Bacon, I Love Dick

William H. Macy, Shameless

"This is really hard, but I'm going to go with Eric McCormack," Moser predicted. "I don’t think they are going to let another year go by without awarding the show. It would be a good way to break the streak of the show not getting a Globe ever." Moser said one indication that Globe voters could be leaning his way, McCormack and his co-star Debra Messing hosted the Globes 75th anniversary special. If he doesn't win, Moser predicted Bacon will. Not only is he a big star, but he's on an Amazon show as well.

Best actress in a TV series, comedy

Frankie Shaw, SMILF

Rachel Brosnahan, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel

Alison Brie, GLOW

Issa Rae, Insecure

Pamela Adlon, Better Things

Moser went with the Globes "ingenue theory" and chose Brosnahan for her new show "Mrs. Maisel." "They love a fresh face," he said of Globe voters.

Best TV movie or limited series

Big Little Lies

Feud: Bette and Joan

Top of the Lake: China Girl

Fargo

The Sinner

"'Big Little Lies' is going to be a huge juggernaut," Moser predicted, giving the HBO series the win in this category.

Best actor in a limited series or TV movie

Robert De Niro, The Wizard of Lies

Kyle MacLachlan, Twin Peaks

Ewan McGregor, Fargo

Jude Law, The Young Pope

Geoffrey Rush, Genius

Predicting the winner in this category was like "throwing a dart at a piece of paper," Moser said. He gave the edge to McGregor, who has been nominated twice before, but said MacLachlan, who won in 1991 when "Twin Peaks" first came out, has a shot as well.

Best actress in a limited series or TV movie

Nicole Kidman, Big Little Lies

Jessica Lange, Feud: Bette and Joan

Reese Witherspoon, Big Little Lies

Susan Sarandon, Feud: Bette and Joan

Jessica Biel, The Sinner

Kidman, who's been nominated more than a dozen times for a Globe, is Moser's pick to win. But he suggested that a "real Globes move," one that would send Twitter into overdrive, would be to choose Biel for "The Sinner."

Best supporting actor in a limited series or TV movie

Alfred Molina, Feud

Alexander Skarsgard, Big Little Lies

David Thewlis, Fargo

David Harbour, Stranger Things

Christian Slater, Mr. Robot

Moser's choice is Skarsgard, who won the Emmy for the same role.

Best supporting actress in a limited series or TV movie

Laura Dern, Big Little Lies

Ann Dowd, The Handmaid’s Tale

Chrissy Metz, This Is Us

Michelle Pfeiffer, The Wizard of Lies

Shailene Woodley, Big Little Lies

Similarly, Moser predicted Dern for "Big Little Lies," but said he'd love to see Pfeiffer win for "The Wizard of Lies."

MOVIES

Best motion picture, drama

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

The Shape of Water

Dunkirk

The Post

Call Me by Your Name

Moser said the race for best drama is between "The Shape of Water" and "The Post." He said, the former, which has the most nominations, is also considered a "little strange," and Globe voters tend to go for movies that are "a little bit weird." The alternative, "The Post," is all about journalism and has the star power of Meryl Streep and Tom Hanks behind it. Moser said Globe voters may want to send a message about a free press by awarding the film.

Best actor in a motion picture, drama

Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour

Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread

Timothee Chalamet, Call Me by Your Name

Tom Hanks, The Post

Denzel Washington, Roman J. Israel, Esq.

Even though Chalamet has been picking up critics awards, Moser thinks Globe voters will go with the more traditional choice of Oldman.

Best actress in a motion picture, drama

Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Meryl Streep, The Post

Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water

Jessica Chastain, Molly’s Game

Michelle Williams, All the Money in the World

Moser keeps flipping between Hawkins and Streep. Hawkins won the Globe previously for "Happy-Go-Lucky." But Streep is considered the "queen of the Golden Globes." Right now he gives the edge to Hawkins, who "gives an emotional performance without saying a word."

Best motion picture, musical or comedy

Lady Bird

Get Out

The Disaster Artist

The Greatest Showman

I, Tonya

"Lady Bird" is Moser's pick. "The most affection lies with 'Lady Bird,'" he said.

Best actor in a motion picture, musical or comedy

Steve Carell, Battle of the Sexes

Ansel Elgort, Baby Driver

James Franco, The Disaster Artist

Hugh Jackman, The Greatest Showman

Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out

Moser predicted Franco will win for his "super actor-y" performance, but he said he wouldn’t be surprised if Jackman takes the award because of the Globe's love for musicals.

Best actress in a motion picture, musical or comedy

Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird

Margot Robbie, I, Tonya

Emma Stone, Battle of the Sexes

Judi Dench, Victoria and Abdul

Helen Mirren, The Leisure Seeker

"One of the surest bets of the night is Saoirse Ronan," Moser said, adding that the alternate is Robbie.

Best supporting actress in a motion picture

Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird

Allison Janney, I, Tonya

Mary J. Blige, Mudbound

Hong Chau, Downsizing

Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water

Moser said this category is between two actresses known more for their television roles, Metcalf and Janney. Neither has won a Globe. "Janney's role is a lot bigger and louder," he said. "I think Janney is going to take it."

Best supporting actor in a motion picture

Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project

Armie Hammer, Call Me by Your Name

Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water

Christopher Plummer, All the Money in the World

Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Few would have predicted "All the Money in the World" would land three nominations, but after director Ridley Scott made the decision to replace Kevin Spacey with Christopher Plummer, Moser said Plummer could well take home the award for "pulling off what they did in that movie."