Did Autism Rates Double?

Oct. 5, 2009— -- Parents are reporting cases of autism at double the rate of the last U.S. government survey in 2003, prompting calls for more research and spawning doubts about the true number of children affected.

Researchers estimate that now 1.1 percent, or 1 in 91 children, were told they had a disorder on the autism spectrum, according to a parent survey on the health of more than 78,000 children included in the National Survey of Children's Health. The last survey, conducted in 2003, estimated just 0.57 percent of children had autism.

But whether a change in diagnosis criteria or some factor in the children's environment, or a combination of the two, led to the jump in reported cases remains unclear.

"This [survey] means that there are a whole lot of families struggling with this and not enough resources," said Rita Sheffler, a mother of a child with autism and a member of the National Autism Association. "We need more funding and research and need it right away. If children don't receive appropriate treatments [at a young age], there aren't enough facilities for adults and society is not prepared if they do not find meaningful treatments."

Although many doctors are fighting for research dollars to investigate autism, specialists do not necessarily trust the numbers as an official estimate, especially because the survey wasn't set up to confirm or explore each time a parent reported an autism diagnosis.

"This should not be the 'official' estimate," said Dr. Max Wiznitzer, a pediatric neurologist at University Hospitals in Cleveland.

"While the authors state that the survey results [and previous surveys] are similar to results of reviews of records, both have a limitation -- the assumption that the parent report and the records accurately reflect the diagnosis," he said

Some of the reporting seemed to match to well-documented statistics, such as the fact that boys were four times more likely to be diagnosed with autism than girls in the survey, a commonly known gender difference in the autism community.

However, the high rate of recovery from autism reported by the parents raised the suspicions of doctors.