WASHINGTON, June 1
In the face of so very many nervous Republicans "close" to the Bush White House who fear losing control of one or both chambers, The Note again presents:
THE KNOWN UNKNOWNS:
1. How Haditha, Iran, and North Korea (for Sanger only) play out.
2. The price of gas on Election Day.
3. The number of U.S. troops in Iraq on Election Day.
4. The degree to which the conservative base is stoked by the war on gay marriage, etc.
5. The level and efficacy of end-game spending by conservative groups "allied with" the White House.
6. If Harry Reid and Nancy Pelosi demonstrate the level of acumen in the fall that they showed this week with the Associated Press and the New York Times, respectively.
7. The indictment schedules of federal prosecutors handling politically sensitive cases.
8. The outcome of the budget and immigration debates.
9. The degree to which Ron Bonjean allows Kevin Madden to proof and edit his press releases.
10. If Ron Fournier's replacement knows the difference between an "undertow," a "tsunami," and an historical norm.
11. The outcomes of pending Senate primaries in Maryland, Tennessee, Montana, and Rhode Island, and Bob Menendez's ability to overcome stuff.
12. Robocalls, morphing, e-mails, and Jake Tapper's watchdogging.
13. The President's job approval rating.
14. The enthusiasm (and generosity) of the Democratic donor base (that is -- do they find it more annoying to write checks or to keep getting calls from Rahm and Chuck?).
15. If the opinion leaders, ministers, bloggers, and talk show hosts on the Right recognize what's at stake, and act accordingly.
16. The effectiveness of the Democrats' fall agenda rollout (in the wake of the serial comedy that produced "Together, America can do better.").
17. How a House of Labor divided performs in turning out the vote.
18. If the Republicans are the usual one-full election cycle ahead of Democrats in terms of technology, or more like 1 1/2.
19. If the NRSC's operation reflects the killer instinct of Elizabeth Dole or of Blaise Hazelwood.
20. The composition of the jaws of Democrats running against incumbent Republicans and for open seats -- steel or glass?
21. The last 72 Hours.
The King of the last 72 Hours, President Bush, made remarks on comprehensive immigration reform at 8:50 am ET at the US Chamber of Commerce.
He meets with his Cabinet at 10:15 am ET, he participates in a swearing-in ceremony for the Secretary of the Interior at 11:20 am ET, and he participates in a swearing-in ceremony for Brett Kavanaugh to the US Circuit Court of Appeals at 1:05 pm ET.
Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice is in Vienna for the P5+1 talks to hammer out details of a deal to offer Iran economic incentives if it halts nuclear activities that could produce a bomb.
Sen. John Kerry (D-MA) will address the Pacific Council on International Policy at the Park Hyatt in Century City, CA at 3:30 pm ET.
Sen. Hillary Clinton (D-NY) spoke at a Putnam County Chamber of Commerce breakfast at 8:45 am ET. She visits Vassar Brothers Medical Center at 12:45pm in Poughkeepsie, NY. Meanwhile, her husband raises money for Arizona Senate candidate Jim Pederson in Phoenix, AZ.
Dr./Leader/Sen. Bill Frist (R-TN) holds joint press availabilities with Sen. Santorum in Pittsburgh and Scranton, PA. They plan to focus on medical liability reform today.