The Quinnipiac poll result is a red flag for the Rubio campaign. The junior senator from Florida has failed to win any of the early nominating contests and faces an absolute must-win situation in Florida, where he has a home-field advantage. A Trump victory in the swing state – as well as its 99 delegates – would be a major win and potentially seal his path to the nomination.
Trump leads among men, as well as voters who cited the economy, terrorism and immigration as their most important issues in the poll.
Each remaining challenger to Trump faces make-or-break contests in their home states as well. Cruz faces a pivotal match in Texas next Tuesday, and Kasich will face off in Ohio on March 15, the same day as the Florida primary.
Trump has the support of nearly every demographic group, including a 50 percentage point lead among voters who want a candidate with strong leadership.
Trump has flexed his electoral muscle during three of the early nominating contests – New Hampshire, South Carolina and Nevada. Cruz won the first-in-the-nation caucus state of Iowa nearly a month ago.
This Quinnipiac University poll was conducted from Feb. 21-24 among 705 Florida likely Republican primary voters. It has a margin of error of +/- 3.7 percentage points.