Trump, Clinton Score At-Home Wins, Yet Challenges Stay Evident for Both (EXIT POLL)
Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump enjoyed a home-state advantage.
— -- Hillary Clinton’s resume, her position on gun policy, her support from women and New York Democrats’ racial and ethnic diversity all boosted her to victory in the state’s presidential primary, while Donald Trump’s home-state advantage gave him record margins overall and across a range of Republican voter groups.
Yet challenges remain for both. Clinton won the state despite continued comparatively weak ratings for honesty, and she lost a variety of key groups to Bernie Sanders, including white men, young voters, strong liberals and those especially worried about the economy, perceived Wall Street excesses and free trade.
Trump, for his part, continued to do poorly among voters focused on a candidate who shares their values. And underscoring the party’s deep rifts, a remarkable 57 percent of his opponents’ backers said they wouldn’t support him as their party’s nominee in November.
Indeed, reflecting a foul mood within the GOP electorate, nearly six in 10 Republican primary voters said the 2016 campaign has done more to divide than to energize the party. That was in a sharp contrast to the Democratic race, in which two-thirds said the contest has done more to energize their side, and many fewer voters ruled out either Clinton or Sanders for their November vote.
New York exit poll results were analyzed for ABC News by Langer Research Associates. Our summary of key results in each race follows.
The Democratic Contest
Among other factors, a sense of inevitability helped Clinton: Seventy-two percent of Democratic primary voters said they thought she’ll be the ultimate nominee. Two-thirds, moreover, gave her a better chance than Sanders to beat Trump in November. And Clinton even ran slightly ahead of Sanders as being the more inspirational candidate, an attribute on which Sanders prevailed easily in his Wisconsin win.
New York was more hospitable to Clinton in a range of ways. Its closed primary limited the number of political independents participating in the Democratic primary – just 14 percent, vs. 27 percent in Wisconsin and nearly as many in previous contests on average. Sanders again won independents overwhelmingly, with three-quarters of their votes.
Racial and ethnic minorities accounted for four in 10 voters in the state, vs. fewer than two in 10 in Wisconsin. Clinton won three-quarters of black voters and 63 percent of Hispanics, while whites divided 51-49 percent, Sanders-Clinton.
Clinton had a broad 22-point margin among women, typical for her in primaries to date, while Sanders again won white men, by a substantial 16 percentage points. Sanders also won by 2-1 among voters younger than 30, slightly off his average across primaries this year.
While more than eight in 10 called Sanders honest and trustworthy, far fewer, 60 percent, said the same of Clinton – similar to previous contests to date, meaning no better for Clinton even in her home state. In further dent to her image, nearly half said she ran the “more unfair” campaign; just a third said, instead, that Sanders did.
Voters picked Clinton over Sanders to handle gun policy by a wide margin, 22 points, and also favored her, by 18 points, as better suited to be commander in chief. But Sanders scored on his trademark issues: Nearly two-thirds said Wall Street hurts the U.S. economy, and he won them by a dozen points. And nearly half of voters said they were very worried about the economy’s future, more than in most other states; Sanders won them by 10 points.