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January 03

These under-the-radar 2024 elections could have a big impact

On the ballot this year: representation, local control and how Americans vote.
January 03
There are a number of under-the-radar elections to keep an eye on in 2024.
January 03

Previewing the under-the-radar elections of 2024

The presidential race isn’t the only thing on the ballot.
January 03
The presidential race isn’t the only thing on the ballot.
January 02

It's crunch time in Iowa and New Hampshire

Who leads polls of the presidential race in the first two GOP primary states?
January 02
Republican presidential candidate former President Donald Trump speaks to guests during a campaign event at the Dallas County Fairgrounds, Oct. 16, 2023, in Adel, Iowa.
December 28

The 25 coolest charts we made in 2023

We look back at some of our favorites from the past year.
December 28
Some of 538's best charts from the year 2023.
December 26

What I got wrong in 2023

Senior elections analyst Nathaniel Rakich looks back at his 2023 predictions.
December 26
538’s Nathaniel Rakich makes a lot of predictions – here are the ones that didn’t quite pan out the way he thought.
December 26

538’s top political moments of 2023

A roundup of the most important things that happened this past year.
December 26
A roundup of the most important things that happened this past year.
December 22

What issues will matter most to Hispanic voters in 2024?

Here’s where they stand on immigration, the environment, abortion and more.
December 22
Hispanic voters are a growing part of the electorate.
December 21

Which political stories from 2023 actually mattered?

A look back at the most important -- and weirdest-- political events of 2023.
December 21
A look back at the most important -- and weirdest-- political events of 2023.
December 21

Which political stories from 2023 actually mattered?

A look back at the most important -- and weirdest-- political events of 2023.
December 21
A look back at the most important -- and weirdest-- political events of 2023.
December 21

High suburban turnout may be the new norm

We took a detailed look at who turned out to vote in five states in 2023.
December 21
Voter turnout in 2023 was high again, particularly in the suburbs
December 21

Why voter turnout will probably be high in 2024

The 2023 elections give us a clue.
December 21
Why voter turnout will probably be high in 2024.
December 20

What's behind the recent wave of House retirements?

Congressional dysfunction might be a factor, but it's not that simple.
December 20
Congressional dysfunction isn't the only reason behind departures from the House of Representatives.
December 20

What the Colorado ruling means for Trump's campaign

Supreme Court will have the final word on whether Trump is kept off the ballot.
December 20
The Supreme Court will have the final word on whether the former president is kept off the ballot.
December 20

What the Colorado ruling means for Trump's campaign

The crew reacts to the Colorado State Supreme Court’s ruling to remove Trump from the presidential primary ballot.
December 20
The crew reacts to the Colorado State Supreme Court’s ruling to remove Trump from the presidential primary ballot.
December 19

Can endorsements change the course of the GOP primary?

DeSantis and Haley are hoping endorsements will help in Iowa and New Hampshire.
December 19
Why big endorsements in Iowa and New Hampshire may not help DeSantis and Haley.
December 19

Big endorsements may not boost DeSantis or Haley in the early states

Why the Iowa and New Hampshire governors' endorsements may not matter.
December 19
Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and Nikki Haley are hoping endorsements will help in Iowa and New Hampshire.
December 18

Trump's challengers are running out of time

Iowans will head to the caucuses in less than a month.
December 18
Trump's challengers are running out of time
December 18

Trump's primary challengers are running out of time

The crew take a look at the polls heading into the Iowa caucuses.
December 18
Iowans will head to the caucuses in less than a month.
December 15

The 2024 Republican presidential primary could be over in a month

Unless he drops out, Donald Trump is extremely likely to win the GOP nomination.
December 15
ABC News Photo Illustration, AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall
December 15

Donald Trump's lead in the 2024 primary is almost insurmountable

Unless Trump drops out, the GOP presidential primary could be over in a month.
December 15
Unless Trump drops out, the GOP presidential primary could be over in a month.
December 14

Have progressives won the economic debate?

President Joe Biden has adopted the economic policies of the left.
December 14
President Joe Biden has adopted the economic policies of the left.
December 14

Have progressives won the economic debate? | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast

Galen Druke speaks with Joshua Green about his new book, “The Rebels: Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and the Struggle for a New American Politics.”
December 14
Have progressives won the economic debate?
December 11

What to make of Trump's 'dictator' comment | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast

Trump said he would not abuse his power in a second term, "except for day one."
December 11
 Trump said he would not abuse his power in a second term, "except for day one."
December 07

Who will win the election for Houston mayor?

Republican and independent voters may be key in a race between two Democrats.
December 07
Republican and independent voters may be key in a race between two Democrats.
December 07

How much attention voters paid to Haley and DeSantis in the debate, according to data

This is how much search traffic the Republican candidates garnered in the fourth debate, according to Google trends data.
December 07
How much attention voters paid to Haley and DeSantis in the debate, according to data
December 07

Is there a crisis in issue polling?

It's tricky to figure out what really motivates people to vote.
December 07
It's tricky to figure out what really motivates people to vote.
December 07

Did the fourth Republican debate matter? | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast

The crew unpacks the fourth Republican primary debate from Tuscaloosa, Alabama.
December 07
The crew unpacks the fourth Republican primary debate from Tuscaloosa, Alabama.
December 04

Is Nikki Haley the new Ron DeSantis? | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast

The crew discuss Haley's rise in GOP primary polls which has her on the cusp of second place.
December 04
The crew discuss Haley's rise in GOP primary polls which has her on the cusp of second place.
December 01

2024 is the 1st ‘AI Election.’ What does that mean?

Galen Druke speaks with Ethan Bueno de Mesquita about his white paper, "Preparing for Generative AI in the 2024 Election: Recommendations and Best Practices Based on Academic Research."
December 01
Galen Druke speaks with Ethan Bueno de Mesquita about his white paper, "Preparing for Generative AI in the 2024 Election: Recommendations and Best Practices Based on Academic Research."
November 27

Why the GOP may be ready to say goodbye to Santos| FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast

The crew discuss how likely Rep. George Santos is to be expelled from Congress.
November 27
The crew discuss how likely Rep. George Santos is to be expelled from Congress.
November 21

What these swing voters have to say about the 2024 election

Galen Druke speaks to three swing voters in Simi Valley, California.
November 21
Galen Druke speaks to three swing voters in Simi Valley, California.
November 20

Everything you need to know about Utah's 2nd District special election

Republicans are favored to win, but the margin could be close.
November 20
Everything you need to know about the Utah's 2nd District special election
November 16

The fight for working-class voters | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast

Non-college-educated voters have shifted right but it remains to be seen if they will they stay there.
November 16
The fight for working-class voters

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