538
Welcome to 538's latest politics chat.
Welcome to 538's latest politics chat.
Dec 23
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Latest 538 Headlines

December 23

Campaign Throwback: ‘The Economy, Stupid’ | 538 Politics Podcast

This is the first installment of the 538 Politics podcast mini-series, “Campaign Throwback.” This episode originally aired in May.
December 23
This is the first installment of the 538 Politics podcast mini-series, “Campaign Throwback.”  This episode originally aired in May.
December 23

How will history remember Biden's presidency?

Trump's 2024 reelection could define Biden's legacy.
December 23
Welcome to 538's latest politics chat.
December 19

What we're putting in our 2024 time capsule | 538 politics podcast

In the second part of our end-of-year series on the 538 Politics podcast, the crew builds a time capsule to capture the political essence of the year.
December 19
In the second part of our end-of-year series on the 538 Politics podcast, the crew builds a time capsule to capture the political essence of the year.
December 19

Why most of Trump's Cabinet picks will get confirmed by the Senate

Nominees face more opposition nowadays, but rarely from the president's party.
December 19
Will Trump's Cabinet nominees get confirmed?
December 18

Why abortion didn't lead Democrats to victory in the 2024 election

Americans still support abortion rights, but they didn't prioritize the issue.
December 18
Abortion didn't affect the 2024 election as much as Democrats hoped.
December 16

Our 2024 Superlatives | 538 politics podcast

On this end-of-2024 installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew makes a yearbook and assigns superlatives.
December 16
On this end-of-2024 installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew makes a yearbook and assigns superlatives.
December 16

Americans are unhappy with the state of health care and insurance

Plus, polls about voters' trust in election results and Biden's approval rating.
December 16
Welcome to Pollapalooza, 538's roundup of the latest polls.
December 12

Where have all the Democrats gone?

Old and new trends combined to make 2024's election a 20-year low for the party.
December 12
How every county shifted from the 2020 to 2024 election.
December 12

What happens to Trump's legal cases now? | 538 politics podcast

Law professor and former federal prosecutor Jessica Roth joins the podcast to unpack the fate of the legal cases against Trump.
December 12
Law professor and former federal prosecutor Jessica Roth joins the podcast to unpack the fate of the legal cases against Trump.
December 12

After the 2024 election, Democrats are at a steep disadvantage in the Senate

Polarization and incumbent losses make it harder for them to win the chamber.
December 12
Democrats are at a disadvantage in the Senate.
December 10

America's swing to the right in 2024 was wide, if not always deep

Trump gained ground in every state and most counties compared to 2020.
December 10
The 2024 election saw a broad swing to the right in how states and counties voted compared to 2020.
December 09

A topsy-turvy week in review | 538 politics podcast

The 538 crew looks at President-elect Donald Trump’s Cabinet picks, the status of House Republicans’ slim majority, and examine the polling on President Joe Biden’s pardon of his son Hunter.
December 09
The 538 crew looks at President-elect Donald Trump’s Cabinet picks, the status of House Republicans’ slim majority, and examine the polling on President Joe Biden’s pardon of his son Hunter.
December 09

Trump's Cabinet woes are back, earlier than ever

He could break the record for most failed Cabinet nominations to start a term.
December 09
Pete Hegseth, President-elect Donald Trump's nominee for secretary of defense, and his wife Jennifer Rauchet arrive for meetings on Capitol Hill, Dec. 9, 2024, in Washington.
December 05

Your post-election questions, answered

In this post-election mailbag episode, the crew tackles your burning questions about the 2024 election.
December 05
In this post-election mailbag episode, the crew tackles your burning questions about the 2024 election.
December 05

Why Democrats now support the Hunter Biden pardon

Plus, polls on Sarah McBride's favorability and the future of America.
December 05
Welcome to Pollapalooza, 538's roundup of the latest polls.
December 04

Has the number of women in Congress hit a ceiling?

Neither party made significant gains, and Republican women still lag behind.
December 04
Mariannette Miller-Meeks, Kristen McDonald Rivet, Janelle Bynum, Marie Gluesenkamp Perez  and Jen Kiggans were among the women who won highly competitive House elections in 2024.
December 03

The 2026 Midterms Are Only 701 Days Away | 538 Politics Podcast

Deep dive into the 2026 midterm elections, with the 538 team analyzing the prospects for both the House and Senate.
December 03
Deep dive into the 2026 midterm elections, with the 538 team analyzing the prospects for both the House and Senate.
November 26

Historic defeat for incumbents all over the world

The 538 crew discusses the global anti-incumbent wave and examines whether Democrats in the U.S. had it the worst.
November 26
Historic defeat for incumbents all over the world
November 26

Will Tulsi Gabbard get confirmed as director of national intelligence?

538’s Geoffrey Skelley and Nathaniel Rakich share their thoughts on Tulsi Gabbard, Trump's pick for director of national intelligence.
November 26
Will Tulsi Gabbard get confirmed as director of national intelligence?
November 26

How economic sentiment impacted the 2024 election

The 538 team discusses how partisan biases influenced economic perceptions and voting outcome in the 2024 election.
November 26
How economic sentiment impacted the 2024 election
November 21

What effect does weighting have on polls' accuracy?

The 538 team discusses how differences in accuracy in polling may be linked to methodology.
November 21
 The 538 team discusses how differences in accuracy in polling may be linked to methodology.
November 21

How pollsters' methodology may have changed

538’s Galen Druke and The New York Times's Ruth Igielnik weigh in on whether pollsters changed their strategy in the last election cycle.
November 21
538’s Galen Druke and The New York Times's Ruth Igielnik weigh in on whether pollsters changed their strategy in the last election cycle.
November 21

What the 2024 election tells us about past elections

538’s Galen Druke and the panel discuss what conclusions can be drawn from the 2024 presidential election and if it can tell us more about the 2016 and 2020 elections.
November 21
538’s Galen Druke and the panel discuss what conclusions can be drawn from the 2024 presidential election and if it can tell us more about the 2016 and 2020 elections.
November 14

What 2024 election polls showed about the Latino electorate

Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, and 538's Galen Druke explain why accurate polling of Latino voters has proved difficult.
November 14
Polls of Latino voters during the 2024 election were a mixed bag of accuracy.  Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, and 538's Galen Druke explain why accurate polling of Latino voters has proved difficult.
November 14

How the issue of immigration may evolve in a second Trump term

538's Galen Druke and Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, discuss how much is known about the mass deportation and immigration policy of president-elect Donald Trump.
November 14
538's Galen Druke and Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, discuss how much is known about the mass deportation and immigration policy of president-elect Donald Trump.
November 14

Are Latino voters shifting or in a realignment?

Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, and 538's Galen Druke take a deep dive into whether the 2024 voting trends of Latino voters are a shift or a full-blown realignment.
November 14
Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, and 538's Galen Druke take a deep dive into whether the 2024 voting trends of Latino voters are a shift or a full-blown realignment.
November 06

How Trump won over voters

The 538 team discusses how Donald Trump won the election despite being disliked by a majority of Americans. 
November 06
How Trump won over voters
November 06

What early exit polls tell us about this year’s election

538’s G. Elliot Morris shares data on voter priorities in the exit polls.
November 06
What early exit polls tell us about this year’s election
November 06

Did voter turnout hurt Democrats in the 2024 election?

538’s Galen Druke and G. Elliot Morris discuss how voter turnout was less than 2020 and how that impacted this year’s election.
November 06
Did voter turnout hurt Democrats in the 2024 election?
November 04

The biggest takeaway from the latest Iowa poll | 538 Politics podcast

538's Galen Druke discusses the latest Selzer & Co./Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll showing Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump in Iowa on the eve of Election Day.
November 04
538's Galen Druke discusses the latest Selzer & Co./Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll showing Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump in Iowa on the eve of Election Day.
November 04

Are more women motivated to vote on abortion? | 538 Politics podcast

538's Galen Druke and The New York Times's Ruth Igielnik discuss how the issue of abortion could be driving more women to vote, according to the latest polling data.
November 04
538's Galen Druke and The New York Times's Ruth Igielnik discuss how the issue of abortion could be driving more women to vote, according to the latest polling data.

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