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This year's Oscars are tough to predict.
This year's Oscars are tough to predict.
Feb 27
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Latest 538 Headlines

February 27

No, it's not getting more dangerous to fly | 538 Politics Podcast

In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen discusses flight safety data with CNN Senior Data Reporter and 538 alumnus himself Harry Enten.
February 27
In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen discusses flight safety data with CNN Senior Data Reporter and 538 alumnus himself Harry Enten.
February 27

Who will win at the 2025 Oscars?

It's an unpredictable year, but other award shows give us a clue.
February 27
This year's Oscars are tough to predict.
February 26

How Trump's push for Canadian statehood would hurt the GOP

Democrats would flip the House and get a boost in presidential and Senate races.
February 26
President Donald Trump has repeatedly called for Canada to become the 51st U.S. state.
February 25

Americans voted for Trump, but don't support his agenda

Our look at nearly 300 poll questions finds Trump is more popular than Trumpism.
February 25
Some of President Donald Trump's proposals are popular, but more are unpopular
February 25

Democrats aren't popular. What should they do about it? | 538 Politics Podcast

In this 538 Politics podcast, Galen speaks with Washington Post data scientist Lenny Bronner and New York Times polling editor Ruth Igielnik about how the Democratic party may evolve.
February 25
In this 538 Politics podcast, Galen speaks with Washington Post data scientist Lenny Bronner and New York Times polling editor Ruth Igielnik about how the Democratic party may evolve.
February 24

How 'DEI' replaced 'structural racism' in the national conversation

Media framing of racial issues has changed since the George Floyd protests.
February 24
The national conversation on race has shifted since the George Floyd protests in 2020
February 20

Why it matters that Trump is deleting government data

Data disruptions could cause big issues in both the public and private sectors.
February 20
Actions by Donald Trump and Elon Musk have disrupted access to government data.
February 20

Trump's theory of presidential power | 538 Politics Podcast

In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast Galen speaks with constitutional law professor Peter Shane about presidential power and its limits during President Trump's second term.
February 20
In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast Galen speaks with constitutional law professor Peter Shane about presidential power and its limits during President Trump's second term.
February 19

What Americans think of Trump's support for Israel

Plus, polling on U.S. expansion, the Russia-Ukraine war and approval of Trump.
February 19
Welcome to Pollapalooza, 538's roundup of the latest polls.
February 18

How much is Trump to blame for high egg prices?

The president promised to lower prices on "day one," but it won't be so easy.
February 18
Can President Donald Trump do anything about rising egg prices?
February 14

A Valentine? In This Romantic Recession? | 538 Politics Podcast

On this Valentine’s Day installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen is joined by Daniel Cox and Kelsey Eyre Hammond of the Survey Center on American Life.
February 14
On this Valentine’s Day installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen is joined by Daniel Cox and Kelsey Eyre Hammond of the Survey Center on American Life.
February 13

What do Americans think about Trump's tariffs?

Economists agree they would raise prices, and Americans agree that would be bad.
February 13
Welcome to 538's latest politics chat.
February 12

How Americans' changing views on health paved the way for RFK Jr.

The rise of misinformation online has helped fringe ideas go mainstream.
February 12
The spread of health-related misinformation on social media may have helped pave the way for Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s nomination to Trump's cabinet.
February 11

What the data says about Trump's deportation programs

It's unclear how many violent criminals are among those ICE has arrested.
February 11
The Trump administration has pushed to increase deportations
February 10

How data became a political football | 538 Politics Podcast 

In this post-Super Bowl edition, the 538 crew talks about prop bets and the rapid rise of sports gambling, along with the offlining of key government datasets under President Trump and why it matters.
February 10
How data became a political football | 538 Politics Podcast
February 10

Why congressional Republicans aren't standing up to Trump

Most Republicans in Congress were elected in the Trump era.
February 10
President Donald Trump speaks as he hosts Republican Senators for a dinner at Mar-a-Lago in Palm Beach, Fla., Feb. 7, 2025.
February 06

The view from Europe | 538 Politics Podcast

Jeanna Smialek, Brussels bureau chief for The New York Times, joins the show to break down the view from Europe.
February 06
Jeanna Smialek, Brussels bureau chief for The New York Times, joins the show to break down the view from Europe.
February 04

Will Trump's agenda make it through Congress? | 538 Politics Podcast

On this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen is joined by Rachael Bade, Politico’s Capitol Hill bureau chief and senior Washington columnist.
February 04
On this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen is joined by Rachael Bade, Politico’s Capitol Hill bureau chief and senior Washington columnist.
February 03

Will tariffs end Trump’s honeymoon? | 538 Politics Podcast

Today on the 538 Politics podcast, the crew breaks down these tariff orders and how Americans feel about them.
February 03
Today on the 538 Politics podcast, the crew breaks down these tariff orders and how Americans feel about them.
January 31

Trump’s federal funding fiasco | 538 Politics Podcast

The Office of Management and Budget issued a memo attacking DEI programs and putting trillions in government funding at risk. States sued, and the administration backtracked.
January 31
The Office of Management and Budget issued a memo attacking DEI programs and putting trillions in government funding at risk. States sued, and the administration backtracked —rescinding the memo but keeping the underlying order intact.
January 27

What Americans think about Trump's plans | 538 Politics Podcast

What do Americans want from Trump’s second term? The crew delves into this question, exploring thermostatic public opinion and Trump’s strategy of testing the waters on key issues.
January 27
What do Americans want from Trump’s second term?
January 21

Trump's second term begins | 538 Politics Podcast

The crew reacts to President Donald Trump’s second inaugural address, as well as Trump’s plans for issuing dozens of executive orders.
January 21
The crew reacts to President Donald Trump’s second inaugural address, as well as Trump’s plans for issuing dozens of executive orders.
January 16

The highs and lows of Biden’s presidency | 538 Politics Podcast

With just days remaining in President Joe Biden’s term, the crew reflects on the past four years and tries to determine how this administration will be remembered.
January 16
With just days remaining in President Joe Biden’s term, the crew reflects on the past four years and tries to determine how this administration will be remembered.
January 14

How serious is Trump about Greenland? | 538 Politics Podcast

With one week remaining before President-elect Donald Trump's inauguration, the nation is orienting itself towards his policy goals. Will they include the addition of new American territory?
January 14
With one week remaining before President-elect Donald Trump's inauguration, the nation is orienting itself towards his policy goals. Will they include the addition of new American territory?
January 07

What Will The Politics of 2025 Look Like? | 538 Politics Podcast

What’s on the horizon for American politics in 2025? In this episode of the 538 Politics Podcast, the team dives into what lies ahead.
January 07
What’s on the horizon for American politics in 2025?
December 30

Campaign Throwback: ‘Soccer Moms’ | 538 Politics Podcast

This is the second installment of the 538 Politics podcast mini-series, “Campaign Throwback.” This episode originally aired in May.
December 30
This is the second installment of the 538 Politics podcast mini-series, “Campaign Throwback.” This episode originally aired in May.

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