Dec 16
ABC News Photo Illustration/Adobe stock
After the 2024 election, Democrats are at a steep disadvantage in the Senate
Polarization and incumbent losses make it harder for them to win the chamber.
December 12, 2024America's swing to the right in 2024 was wide, if not always deep
Trump gained ground in every state and most counties compared to 2020.
December 10, 2024Trump's Cabinet woes are back, earlier than ever
He could break the record for most failed Cabinet nominations to start a term.
December 09, 2024
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December 16
Our 2024 Superlatives | 538 politics podcast
On this end-of-2024 installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew makes a yearbook and assigns superlatives.
December 16
December 16
Americans are unhappy with the state of health care and insurance
Plus, polls about voters' trust in election results and Biden's approval rating.
December 16
December 12
Where have all the Democrats gone?
Old and new trends combined to make 2024's election a 20-year low for the party.
December 12
December 12
What happens to Trump's legal cases now? | 538 politics podcast
Law professor and former federal prosecutor Jessica Roth joins the podcast to unpack the fate of the legal cases against Trump.
December 12
December 12
After the 2024 election, Democrats are at a steep disadvantage in the Senate
Polarization and incumbent losses make it harder for them to win the chamber.
December 12
December 10
America's swing to the right in 2024 was wide, if not always deep
Trump gained ground in every state and most counties compared to 2020.
December 10
December 09
A topsy-turvy week in review | 538 politics podcast
The 538 crew looks at President-elect Donald Trump’s Cabinet picks, the status of House Republicans’ slim majority, and examine the polling on President Joe Biden’s pardon of his son Hunter.
December 09
December 09
Trump's Cabinet woes are back, earlier than ever
He could break the record for most failed Cabinet nominations to start a term.
December 09
December 05
Your post-election questions, answered
In this post-election mailbag episode, the crew tackles your burning questions about the 2024 election.
December 05
December 05
Why Democrats now support the Hunter Biden pardon
Plus, polls on Sarah McBride's favorability and the future of America.
December 05
December 04
Has the number of women in Congress hit a ceiling?
Neither party made significant gains, and Republican women still lag behind.
December 04
December 03
The 2026 Midterms Are Only 701 Days Away | 538 Politics Podcast
Deep dive into the 2026 midterm elections, with the 538 team analyzing the prospects for both the House and Senate.
December 03
December 02
Why Republicans start out as favorites in the 2026 Senate elections
Democrats need to flip four seats for a majority, but have few clear targets.
December 02
November 26
Historic defeat for incumbents all over the world
The 538 crew discusses the global anti-incumbent wave and examines whether Democrats in the U.S. had it the worst.
November 26
November 26
Will Tulsi Gabbard get confirmed as director of national intelligence?
538’s Geoffrey Skelley and Nathaniel Rakich share their thoughts on Tulsi Gabbard, Trump's pick for director of national intelligence.
November 26
November 26
How economic sentiment impacted the 2024 election
The 538 team discusses how partisan biases influenced economic perceptions and voting outcome in the 2024 election.
November 26
November 21
What effect does weighting have on polls' accuracy?
The 538 team discusses how differences in accuracy in polling may be linked to methodology.
November 21
November 21
How pollsters' methodology may have changed
538’s Galen Druke and The New York Times's Ruth Igielnik weigh in on whether pollsters changed their strategy in the last election cycle.
November 21
November 21
What the 2024 election tells us about past elections
538’s Galen Druke and the panel discuss what conclusions can be drawn from the 2024 presidential election and if it can tell us more about the 2016 and 2020 elections.
November 21
November 14
What 2024 election polls showed about the Latino electorate
Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, and 538's Galen Druke explain why accurate polling of Latino voters has proved difficult.
November 14
November 14
How the issue of immigration may evolve in a second Trump term
538's Galen Druke and Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, discuss how much is known about the mass deportation and immigration policy of president-elect Donald Trump.
November 14
November 14
Are Latino voters shifting or in a realignment?
Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, and 538's Galen Druke take a deep dive into whether the 2024 voting trends of Latino voters are a shift or a full-blown realignment.
November 14
November 06
How Trump won over voters
The 538 team discusses how Donald Trump won the election despite being disliked by a majority of Americans.
November 06
November 06
What early exit polls tell us about this year’s election
538’s G. Elliot Morris shares data on voter priorities in the exit polls.
November 06
November 06
Did voter turnout hurt Democrats in the 2024 election?
538’s Galen Druke and G. Elliot Morris discuss how voter turnout was less than 2020 and how that impacted this year’s election.
November 06
November 04
The biggest takeaway from the latest Iowa poll | 538 Politics podcast
538's Galen Druke discusses the latest Selzer & Co./Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll showing Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump in Iowa on the eve of Election Day.
November 04
November 04
Are more women motivated to vote on abortion? | 538 Politics podcast
538's Galen Druke and The New York Times's Ruth Igielnik discuss how the issue of abortion could be driving more women to vote, according to the latest polling data.
November 04
November 01
The election isn’t a popularity contest
The 538 team discusses why the candidate with the higher favorability rating isn’t running away with the election.
November 01
November 01
Are women of color energized to vote?
538’s Galen Druke and Nathaniel Rakich debate the meaning of the spike in voter registrations after Kamala Harris announced her presidential campaign.
November 01
November 01
Can the Washington primary predict the general election?
538’s Galen Druke and Nathaniel Rakich discuss what Washington state's primary can tell us about who will win in November.
November 01
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