2 hours ago
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Why it always feels like the government is about to shut down
Congress routinely uses stopgap bills to punt funding deadlines.
April 05, 2024See how demographic swings could impact the 2024 election
538's new Swing-O-Matic shows which states could flip under different scenarios.
April 04, 2024When will Trump make his VP pick?
Running mates have historically been announced in July or August.
April 02, 2024
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2 hours ago
Do Americans agree with Trump on abortion?
Test your knowledge of public sentiment on abortion, IVF and more.
2 hours ago
April 05
Why it always feels like the government is about to shut down
Congress routinely uses stopgap bills to punt funding deadlines.
April 05
April 04
Where will people commune in a godless America?
Religious decline has happened fast. It means fewer places for connection.
April 04
April 04
See how demographic swings could impact the 2024 election
538's new Swing-O-Matic shows which states could flip under different scenarios.
April 04
April 02
When will Trump make his VP pick?
Running mates have historically been announced in July or August.
April 02
April 02
The presidential election has become an unpopularity contest
President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump are both underwater in the polls with the American public.
April 02
April 01
Have Americans ever hated two candidates as much as Biden and Trump?
Why favorability might not matter in the 2024 presidential election.
April 01
March 28
Are US politics undergoing a racial realignment? | 538 Politics Podcast
Some voters of color are challenging traditional voter alliances.
March 28
March 28
Could Larry Hogan turn a blue Senate seat red in Maryland?
Personal appeal rarely overrides partisanship these days.
March 28
March 27
States are cracking down on deepfakes ahead of the 2024 election
But they might be missing the most concerning threats.
March 27
March 26
8 people who could be Trump's VP pick
Tim Scott and Kristi Noem headline 538's latest vice presidential draft.
March 26
March 26
Is an election vibe shift underway? | 538 Politics Podcast
Biden's approval rating is up, and Trump's favorability rating is down.
March 26
March 25
House members seem to really hate their jobs
More and more are cutting their congressional careers off early.
March 25
March 25
Who said it: Biden, Trump or someone from 'The Bachelor'?
We quizzed the 538 staff with 12 quotes about finding love — or votes.
March 25
March 21
538 Debate Club: Should TikTok be banned?
The pros and cons of a possible de facto TikTok ban.
March 21
March 21
538 Debate Club: Should TikTok be banned? | 538 Politics Podcast
The pros and cons of a possible de facto TikTok ban.
March 21
March 21
Will RFK Jr. and third-party contenders even make the ballot in November?
A variety of state-by-state rules stand in their way.
March 21
March 20
How IVF and abortion access could shape the 2024 election
Plus, polls on Biden and Trump job approval and college athlete unionization.
March 20
March 18
How worried should Democrats be about the polls?
Biden currently trails Trump in national polling and every battleground state.
March 18
March 18
How worried should Democrats be about the polls? | 538 Politics Podcast
Biden currently trails Trump in national polling and every battleground state.
March 18
March 18
8 primaries to watch in Ohio, Illinois and California
The GOP primary for Ohio Senate will have big implications for November.
March 18
March 14
Do campaign stops actually matter? | 538 Politics Podcast
Politicians rarely boost turnout in the places where they choose to campaign.
March 14
March 11
Does Gen Z really care more about that viral TikTok than politics?
What is (and isn't) motivating young voters today.
March 11
March 08
A very political State of the Union | 538 Politics Podcast
Biden highlighted the top 2024 campaign issues in his address to the nation.
March 08
March 06
Super Tuesday brings a couple surprises | 538 Politics Podcast
Trump dominates but Haley pulls off win in Vermont.
March 06
March 04
What to watch for on Super Tuesday | 538 Politics Podcast
Plus, how Trump is tightening his grip on the GOP.
March 04
February 28
What to make of the protest votes in Michigan | 538 Politics Podcast
Biden and Trump's easy victories masked discontent in both parties.
February 28
February 25
After South Carolina loss, what is Nikki Haley's plan? | 538 Politics Podcast
Without a clear path to the nomination, Haley may be hoping to make a point about the future of the GOP.
February 25
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