Jan 03
ABC News Photo Illustration
It's crunch time in Iowa and New Hampshire
Who leads polls of the presidential race in the first two GOP primary states?
January 02, 2024The 25 coolest charts we made in 2023
We look back at some of our favorites from the past year.
December 28, 2023Which states could get new congressional maps in 2024?
An updating tracker of developments in midcycle redistricting.
October 03, 2023
Latest 538 Video
Latest 538 Headlines
January 03
These under-the-radar 2024 elections could have a big impact
On the ballot this year: representation, local control and how Americans vote.
January 03
January 03
Previewing the under-the-radar elections of 2024
The presidential race isn’t the only thing on the ballot.
January 03
January 02
It's crunch time in Iowa and New Hampshire
Who leads polls of the presidential race in the first two GOP primary states?
January 02
December 28
The 25 coolest charts we made in 2023
We look back at some of our favorites from the past year.
December 28
December 26
What I got wrong in 2023
Senior elections analyst Nathaniel Rakich looks back at his 2023 predictions.
December 26
December 26
538’s top political moments of 2023
A roundup of the most important things that happened this past year.
December 26
December 22
What issues will matter most to Hispanic voters in 2024?
Here’s where they stand on immigration, the environment, abortion and more.
December 22
December 21
Which political stories from 2023 actually mattered?
A look back at the most important -- and weirdest-- political events of 2023.
December 21
December 21
Which political stories from 2023 actually mattered?
A look back at the most important -- and weirdest-- political events of 2023.
December 21
December 21
High suburban turnout may be the new norm
We took a detailed look at who turned out to vote in five states in 2023.
December 21
December 21
Why voter turnout will probably be high in 2024
The 2023 elections give us a clue.
December 21
December 20
What's behind the recent wave of House retirements?
Congressional dysfunction might be a factor, but it's not that simple.
December 20
December 20
What the Colorado ruling means for Trump's campaign
Supreme Court will have the final word on whether Trump is kept off the ballot.
December 20
December 20
What the Colorado ruling means for Trump's campaign
The crew reacts to the Colorado State Supreme Court’s ruling to remove Trump from the presidential primary ballot.
December 20
December 19
Can endorsements change the course of the GOP primary?
DeSantis and Haley are hoping endorsements will help in Iowa and New Hampshire.
December 19
December 19
Big endorsements may not boost DeSantis or Haley in the early states
Why the Iowa and New Hampshire governors' endorsements may not matter.
December 19
December 18
Trump's challengers are running out of time
Iowans will head to the caucuses in less than a month.
December 18
December 18
Trump's primary challengers are running out of time
The crew take a look at the polls heading into the Iowa caucuses.
December 18
December 15
The 2024 Republican presidential primary could be over in a month
Unless he drops out, Donald Trump is extremely likely to win the GOP nomination.
December 15
December 15
Donald Trump's lead in the 2024 primary is almost insurmountable
Unless Trump drops out, the GOP presidential primary could be over in a month.
December 15
December 14
Have progressives won the economic debate?
President Joe Biden has adopted the economic policies of the left.
December 14
December 14
Have progressives won the economic debate? | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast
Galen Druke speaks with Joshua Green about his new book, “The Rebels: Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and the Struggle for a New American Politics.”
December 14
December 11
What to make of Trump's 'dictator' comment | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast
Trump said he would not abuse his power in a second term, "except for day one."
December 11
December 07
Who will win the election for Houston mayor?
Republican and independent voters may be key in a race between two Democrats.
December 07
December 07
How much attention voters paid to Haley and DeSantis in the debate, according to data
This is how much search traffic the Republican candidates garnered in the fourth debate, according to Google trends data.
December 07
December 07
Is there a crisis in issue polling?
It's tricky to figure out what really motivates people to vote.
December 07
December 07
Did the fourth Republican debate matter? | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast
The crew unpacks the fourth Republican primary debate from Tuscaloosa, Alabama.
December 07
December 04
Is Nikki Haley the new Ron DeSantis? | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast
The crew discuss Haley's rise in GOP primary polls which has her on the cusp of second place.
December 04
December 01
2024 is the 1st ‘AI Election.’ What does that mean?
Galen Druke speaks with Ethan Bueno de Mesquita about his white paper, "Preparing for Generative AI in the 2024 Election: Recommendations and Best Practices Based on Academic Research."
December 01
November 27
Why the GOP may be ready to say goodbye to Santos| FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast
The crew discuss how likely Rep. George Santos is to be expelled from Congress.
November 27
November 21
What these swing voters have to say about the 2024 election
Galen Druke speaks to three swing voters in Simi Valley, California.
November 21
November 20
Everything you need to know about Utah's 2nd District special election
Republicans are favored to win, but the margin could be close.
November 20
November 16
The fight for working-class voters | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast
Non-college-educated voters have shifted right but it remains to be seen if they will they stay there.
November 16
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