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Welcome to Pollapalooza, 538's roundup of the latest polls.
Welcome to Pollapalooza, 538's roundup of the latest polls.
Dec 05
ABC News Photo Illustration/Anna Moneymaker/Getty/Adobe stock

Latest 538 Headlines

December 05

Your post-election questions, answered

In this post-election mailbag episode, the crew tackles your burning questions about the 2024 election.
December 05
In this post-election mailbag episode, the crew tackles your burning questions about the 2024 election.
December 05

Why Democrats now support the Hunter Biden pardon

Plus, polls on Sarah McBride's favorability and the future of America.
December 05
Welcome to Pollapalooza, 538's roundup of the latest polls.
December 04

Has the number of women in Congress hit a ceiling?

Neither party made significant gains, and Republican women still lag behind.
December 04
Mariannette Miller-Meeks, Kristen McDonald Rivet, Janelle Bynum, Marie Gluesenkamp Perez  and Jen Kiggans were among the women who won highly competitive House elections in 2024.
December 03

The 2026 Midterms Are Only 701 Days Away | 538 Politics Podcast

Deep dive into the 2026 midterm elections, with the 538 team analyzing the prospects for both the House and Senate.
December 03
Deep dive into the 2026 midterm elections, with the 538 team analyzing the prospects for both the House and Senate.
December 02

Why Republicans start out as favorites in the 2026 Senate elections

Democrats need to flip four seats for a majority, but have few clear targets.
December 02
At least 35 seats in the U.S. Senate are expected to be up for election in November 2026.
November 26

The 2024 presidential election was close, not a landslide

But the small victory hasn't stopped Trump from claiming a mandate.
November 26
President-elect Donald Trump's 2024 win was historically narrow.
November 26

Historic defeat for incumbents all over the world

The 538 crew discusses the global anti-incumbent wave and examines whether Democrats in the U.S. had it the worst.
November 26
Historic defeat for incumbents all over the world
November 26

Will Tulsi Gabbard get confirmed as director of national intelligence?

538’s Geoffrey Skelley and Nathaniel Rakich share their thoughts on Tulsi Gabbard, Trump's pick for director of national intelligence.
November 26
Will Tulsi Gabbard get confirmed as director of national intelligence?
November 26

How economic sentiment impacted the 2024 election

The 538 team discusses how partisan biases influenced economic perceptions and voting outcome in the 2024 election.
November 26
How economic sentiment impacted the 2024 election
November 25

The congressional bathroom ban is the latest transgender policy battle

Plus, polling on Trump's transition, trust in polls and Thanksgiving plans.
November 25
Welcome to Pollapalooza, 538's roundup of the latest polls.
November 21

What effect does weighting have on polls' accuracy?

The 538 team discusses how differences in accuracy in polling may be linked to methodology.
November 21
 The 538 team discusses how differences in accuracy in polling may be linked to methodology.
November 21

How pollsters' methodology may have changed

538’s Galen Druke and The New York Times's Ruth Igielnik weigh in on whether pollsters changed their strategy in the last election cycle.
November 21
538’s Galen Druke and The New York Times's Ruth Igielnik weigh in on whether pollsters changed their strategy in the last election cycle.
November 21

What the 2024 election tells us about past elections

538’s Galen Druke and the panel discuss what conclusions can be drawn from the 2024 presidential election and if it can tell us more about the 2016 and 2020 elections.
November 21
538’s Galen Druke and the panel discuss what conclusions can be drawn from the 2024 presidential election and if it can tell us more about the 2016 and 2020 elections.
November 21

Gaetz is out. Will Trump's other Cabinet picks be confirmed?

Nomination fights are already causing headaches for the new GOP majority.
November 21
Welcome to 538's latest politics chat.
November 20

How immigration swung voters of color to Trump

Trump gained among nonwhite voters with conservative views on immigration.
November 20
Former US President and Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks alongside National Border Patrol Union members after they endorsed Trump, during a campaign rally at Findlay Toyota Arena, Oct. 13, 2024, in Prescott Valley, Ariz.
November 19

What the gender gap tells us about Trump's win

His appeals to young men and men of color may have paid off.
November 19
Donald Trump once again saw notably higher support among men than women in 2024.
November 18

Democrats aren't alone — incumbent parties have lost elections all around the world

But their losses were smaller than those in many other democracies.
November 18
Democrats were just one of the many incumbent parties around the globe that lost ground in 2024.
November 14

What 2024 election polls showed about the Latino electorate

Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, and 538's Galen Druke explain why accurate polling of Latino voters has proved difficult.
November 14
Polls of Latino voters during the 2024 election were a mixed bag of accuracy.  Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, and 538's Galen Druke explain why accurate polling of Latino voters has proved difficult.
November 14

How the issue of immigration may evolve in a second Trump term

538's Galen Druke and Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, discuss how much is known about the mass deportation and immigration policy of president-elect Donald Trump.
November 14
538's Galen Druke and Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, discuss how much is known about the mass deportation and immigration policy of president-elect Donald Trump.
November 14

Are Latino voters shifting or in a realignment?

Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, and 538's Galen Druke take a deep dive into whether the 2024 voting trends of Latino voters are a shift or a full-blown realignment.
November 14
Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, and 538's Galen Druke take a deep dive into whether the 2024 voting trends of Latino voters are a shift or a full-blown realignment.
November 06

How Trump won over voters

The 538 team discusses how Donald Trump won the election despite being disliked by a majority of Americans. 
November 06
How Trump won over voters
November 06

What early exit polls tell us about this year’s election

538’s G. Elliot Morris shares data on voter priorities in the exit polls.
November 06
What early exit polls tell us about this year’s election
November 06

Did voter turnout hurt Democrats in the 2024 election?

538’s Galen Druke and G. Elliot Morris discuss how voter turnout was less than 2020 and how that impacted this year’s election.
November 06
Did voter turnout hurt Democrats in the 2024 election?
November 04

The biggest takeaway from the latest Iowa poll | 538 Politics podcast

538's Galen Druke discusses the latest Selzer & Co./Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll showing Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump in Iowa on the eve of Election Day.
November 04
538's Galen Druke discusses the latest Selzer & Co./Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll showing Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump in Iowa on the eve of Election Day.
November 04

Are more women motivated to vote on abortion? | 538 Politics podcast

538's Galen Druke and The New York Times's Ruth Igielnik discuss how the issue of abortion could be driving more women to vote, according to the latest polling data.
November 04
538's Galen Druke and The New York Times's Ruth Igielnik discuss how the issue of abortion could be driving more women to vote, according to the latest polling data.
November 01

The election isn’t a popularity contest

The 538 team discusses why the candidate with the higher favorability rating isn’t running away with the election.
November 01
The 538 team discusses why the candidate with the higher favorability rating isn’t running away with the election.
November 01

Are women of color energized to vote?

538’s Galen Druke and Nathaniel Rakich debate the meaning of the spike in voter registrations after Kamala Harris announced her presidential campaign.
November 01
538’s Galen Druke and Nathaniel Rakich debate the meaning of the spike in voter registrations after Kamala Harris announced her presidential campaign.
November 01

Can the Washington primary predict the general election?

538’s Galen Druke and Nathaniel Rakich discuss what Washington state's primary can tell us about who will win in November.
November 01
538’s Galen Druke and Nathaniel Rakich discuss what Washington state's primary can tell us about who will win in November.
October 29

How will young men vote in the 2024 election?

538’s G. Elliott Morris shares the latest polling data on how young men are voting.
October 29
How will young men vote in the 2024 election?
October 29

Does only 3% of America care about democracy?

The 538 team weighs in on a study about whether voters would flip parties if their candidate did something anti-democratic.
October 29
Does only 3% of America care about democracy?
October 29

How to look at early voting data responsibly

With the 2024 presidential election a week away, 538’s Galen Druke and G. Elliott Morris discuss the relevancy of early voting data.
October 29
How to look at early voting data responsibly

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