We're tracking who will win the House and other outstanding contests.
The presidential race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris has been decided, but there are still several downballot races where the winner isn't yet apparent. Control of the House of Representatives is still up in the air, and while ABC News has projected that Republicans will win the Senate, the size of their majority is still TBD. Needless to say, both of these things will have major implications for how easy it will be for Trump to enact his second-term agenda.
However, it could be a while before we know who won these races. Many of them are in states like California, Arizona and Nevada that take days to count all their ballots. So we at 538 are settling in for the long haul with this live blog dedicated to all the outstanding races of the 2024 election. Join us for live updates, analysis and commentary until the last major race is decided.
ABC News reports that Democratic Sen. Jacky Rosen is projected to win reelection in Nevada. Her lead over Republican Sam Brown is up to 48% to 46%. Still, that's narrower than the polls suggested going into Election Day. Rosen becomes the third Democratic Senate candidate to win while Trump was carrying their state — all by the skin of their teeth.
ABC News reports that Democrat April McClain-Delaney has pulled off a narrow win over Neil Parrott in Maryland’s 6th Congressional District. With just around 91% of the vote in, the Democrat leads her Republican challenger 51% to 49%, even though Biden carried the district by 10 percentage points in 2020. The seat became open after Democratic Rep. David Trone decided to run for U.S. Senate — where he lost in the primary. At this point, every individual House win is good news for Democrats as it’s still within the realm of possibility (though unlikely) that they could flip the GOP-controlled chamber.
In what was surely the most important ballot measure of the year, Question 5 in Maine — which would have changed the Maine state flag — has failed 55% to 45%, according to the AP. The campaign started as a simple vexillological debate between the current flag, which features the state seal on a blue background, and a version of the state's original flag, which had a star and pine tree on it. However, the ballot measure became a culture war issue as conservatives bristled at the "erasure" of the state seal, which features a farmer and sailor on it. That can be seen in a map of the results, in which liberal areas voted for the new flag and conservative ones voted against it.
ABC News reports that independent Sen. Angus King is projected to win reelection in Maine over his Republican opponent, Demi Kouzounas. With 95% of the expected vote reporting, King has 52% to Kouzounas's 34%, while Democrat David Costello has about 11%. Had King fallen below 50%, it would've sent the race to Maine's ranked-choice voting process, but he looks on course to finish with an outright majority and victory. Because King caucuses with the Democrats, this essentially counts as a Democratic hold.
