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Election Day 2024 live results: Trump projected to win North Carolina, a swing state

We're tracking races for president, Senate, House and more across the country.

By538 and ABC News via five thirty eight logo
Last Updated: November 5, 2024, 11:56 PM EST

Polls have closed in some states and the first results are coming in in the high-stakes presidential match-up between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. According to 538's forecast, both candidates have a roughly equal chance to win.

Voters are still at polling places around the country, casting ballots to decide who controls not only the White House, but also Congress, state and local governments.

Reporters from 538 and ABC News will be following along every step of the way with live updates, analysis and commentary on the results. Keep up to date with our full live blog below!

Monica Potts Image
Nov 05, 2024, 9:14 PM EST

Abortion rights amendment is projected to be defeated in Florida

ABC News projects that the ballot initiative that would have granted Floridians the right to an abortion will come just shy of its needed 60% threshold to pass. It's at 57% yes to 43% no with 86% of the expected vote reporting. Of course abortion remains a huge issue this year, and nine other states are voting on abortion rights ballot initiatives tonight. Florida has required a supermajority of 60% for constitutional ballot amendments to pass an initiative requiring it passed in 2006>).

ABC News projects that the ballot initiative that would have granted Floridians the right to an abortion will come just shy of its needed 60% threshold to pass.
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Abortion rights amendment projected to be defeated in Florida

ABC News projects that the ballot initiative that would have granted Floridians the right to an abortion will come just shy of its needed 60% threshold to pass.
ABCNews.com
Geoffrey Skelley Image
Nov 05, 2024, 9:06 PM EST

Georgia trends Trump, Harris will need help from big Democratic vote bases

With about two-thirds of Georgia's expected vote reporting, Trump leads by 6 points, 53% to 47%. Among the counties where at least 90% of the expected vote has reported (53 of the state's 159 counties), Trump is doing about 3 points better in margin than he did in 2020 against Biden. In a state Biden carried by just 0.24 points, a statewide trend like that across all counties would surely mean victory for Trump.

People line up to vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election on Election Day at Park Tavern in Atlanta, Nov. 5, 2024.
Cheney Orr/Reuters

Harris' hopes lie in gaining votes in some of the big Atlanta-area counties that were pivotal to Biden's win, as none of those has reported more than about three-fourths of the expected vote yet (and Gwinnett County has reported only 16% of its expected vote). The good news for her is that she's running ahead of Biden in some of those places; the bad news is that some of those counties still have more GOP-leaning Election Day votes to process.

Alexandra Samuels Image
Nov 05, 2024, 9:04 PM EST

Trump projected to pick up four more states -- including Texas

ABC News is projecting that Trump is expecting to win North Dakota, South Dakota, Texas and Wyoming -- all reliably red states. With this, the former president will pick up the four state’s combined 49 electoral votes.

With about 57% of the expected vote in for the Lone Star State, Trump currently leads Harris by 8 percentage points (53% to 45%). If this trend continues, Harris will have underperformed Biden’s 2020 margin. That year, Biden lost by about 5 percentage points -- one of the closest Texas races for the White House in the last quarter century. In 2016, Trump carried the state by 9 percentage points over Hillary Clinton.

Donald Trump will win Texas, North Dakota, South Dakota and Wyoming, ABC News projects.
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2024 Election: Projections for Texas, N.D., S.D., Wyo.

Donald Trump will win Texas, North Dakota, South Dakota and Wyoming, ABC News projects.
ABCNews.com
Nov 05, 2024, 9:02 PM EST

Polls closing at 9 p.m.

It's now 9 p.m. Eastern. The last polling places have closed in another big batch of states: Arizona, Colorado, Iowa, Kansas, Louisiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Nebraska, New Mexico, New York, North Dakota, South Dakota, Texas, Wisconsin and Wyoming. Here are our forecasts for the races in those states: