Election 2024 updates: With Arizona, Trump sweeps all 7 swing states

It's past 9 p.m. Eastern, and it still feels like we don't know much about who will win the presidential race. Neither Harris nor Trump is doing notably better than expected, so here in the 538 office, it feels like we're settling in to watch states like Georgia, North Carolina and Pennsylvania come down to the wire. It reminds me of 2020, when the race also didn't have a clear leader until a day or two after Election Day.

So overall, it's looking like the polls were right and the race is going to be close. That means we may not know the winner for a couple days.

With 60% of the vote reporting, ABC News is projecting that Harris has won Delaware's three electoral votes. In the race for Senate, ABC News is also projecting Democratic Rep. Lisa Blunt Rochester has won. Blunt Rochester is the first woman and first Black person to represent Delaware in the Senate. She was previously the first woman and the first Black person to represent the state in Congress.

ABC News projects that the ballot initiative that would have granted Floridians the right to an abortion will come just shy of its needed 60% threshold to pass. It's at 57% yes to 43% no with 86% of the expected vote reporting. Of course abortion remains a huge issue this year, and nine other states are voting on abortion rights ballot initiatives tonight. Florida has required a supermajority of 60% for constitutional ballot amendments to pass an initiative requiring it passed in 2006>).

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Abortion rights amendment projected to be defeated in Florida

ABC News projects that the ballot initiative that would have granted Floridians the right to an abortion will come just shy of its needed 60% threshold to pass.

ABCNews.com

With about two-thirds of Georgia's expected vote reporting, Trump leads by 6 points, 53% to 47%. Among the counties where at least 90% of the expected vote has reported (53 of the state's 159 counties), Trump is doing about 3 points better in margin than he did in 2020 against Biden. In a state Biden carried by just 0.24 points, a statewide trend like that across all counties would surely mean victory for Trump.

Harris' hopes lie in gaining votes in some of the big Atlanta-area counties that were pivotal to Biden's win, as none of those has reported more than about three-fourths of the expected vote yet (and Gwinnett County has reported only 16% of its expected vote). The good news for her is that she's running ahead of Biden in some of those places; the bad news is that some of those counties still have more GOP-leaning Election Day votes to process.