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Election Day 2024 live results: Trump projected to win the presidency

We tracked races for president, Senate, House and more across the country.

By538 and ABC News via five thirty eight logo
Last Updated: November 5, 2024, 11:56 PM EST

With projections made in most states across the country, ABC has projected that former President Donald Trump will win the high-stakes presidential match-up against Vice President Kamala Harris. Early Wednesday morning, Trump secured enough Electoral College votes to set himself up for a second presidency, including by flipping the key swing states of Georgia, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. Plus, Republicans are set up to take back the Senate majority, with at least 51 seats locked down — while control of the House remained up in the air.

Throughout the evening and into Wednesday morning, reporters from 538 followed along every step of the way with live updates, analysis and commentary on these races and all the others down the ballot. Follow our live election-night coverage in full below.

Key Headlines

Here's how the news is developing.
ByMary Radcliffe
Nov 05, 2024, 10:28 PM EST

The polls are having another good night

The results from the Southeastern states are looking good for Trump, as Nathaniel mentioned earlier, and that seems like a win for polling this cycle. As we saw in 2022, we've had a cacophony of complaints about the polls this year: that they were too Republican-leaning, or that they underestimated Trump twice before and might do it again. But everything so far tonight seems to validate that the death of the polling industry, once again, may have been greatly exaggerated.

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ByGeoffrey Skelley
Nov 05, 2024, 10:26 PM EST

Trump slightly ahead in Pennsylvania with half the vote in

With just about half of the expected vote reporting in Pennsylvania, Trump leads by about 2 points, 50.5% to 48.6%. The good news for Trump is that he's improved on his 2020 position by about 3 points collectively in the 12 counties (of 67) that have reported at least 90% of their expected vote. One notable example is Lackawanna County in the state's northeast, which has reported 95% of its expected vote. Home to Scranton, Biden's birthplace, it's currently going to Harris by 3 points -- but that's a 5-point decline from Biden's 8-point margin edge there in 2020. Harris' hopes probably lie in winning more votes in the Philadelphia blue-collar counties and Philadelphia proper, which have many outstanding votes.

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ByNathaniel Rakich
Nov 05, 2024, 10:24 PM EST

First results in Arizona

We have our first results from a swing state out west! With 49% of the expected vote reporting in Arizona, it's Harris 50%, Trump 49%. In the Senate race, Democrats are running stronger: Democrat Ruben Gallego has 53% to Republican Kari Lake's 45%. As a reminder, it will take days to count all the ballots in Arizona, although it may be possible to make a projection earlier.

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ByDan Hopkins
Nov 05, 2024, 10:22 PM EST

Checking in on Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District

The night is young. With Georgia and North Carolina currently leaning Trump, perhaps the easiest pathway for Harris is the pathway that polls most consistently suggested: winning the "blue wall" of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. But to get to 270 Electoral College votes, Harris likely needs to pair those three states with one of the two Electoral College votes that come from winning a House district in either Maine's 2nd District or Nebraska's 2nd District. And so far, Harris is up 55% to 44% in Nebraska's 2nd District, which includes Omaha, with 70% of the expected vote counted according to the AP.