Montana House race remains interesting
Democrats have had a bad night, and they look to be in trouble in Montana's Senate race, where Tester trails by about 4.5 points with about half the expected vote reporting statewide.
But Montana's 1st Congressional District in the western part of the state also bears keeping an eye on. Trump will very likely carry this seat (he would have carried it by about 7 points in 2020), but the House race is quite close right now. Republican Rep. Ryan Zinke is just about tied with Democrat Monica Tranel at 49 percent, with about 40 percent of the expected vote reporting. With so much vote outstanding, it would not be surprising to see Zinke eventually take and hold a lead to win reelection. Yet there are a similar number of votes left in Democratic-leaning counties in the district as GOP-leaning ones. With some of the curious things happening in House races relative to the presidential race, a Democratic surprise here would be a cherry on top.