Georgia, Oregon, Idaho and Kentucky primaries 2024: Tough night for progressives

Abortion didn’t help liberals flip a Georgia Supreme Court seat.

Last Updated: May 21, 2024, 5:28 PM EDT

On May 21, voters in Georgia, Idaho, Oregon, Kentucky and California held key elections for Congress and nationally watched local races. Two key figures from one of Trump’s legal cases, Fani Willis and Scott McAfee, easily won their races, while conservatives won a Georgia Supreme Court election fought largely over abortion. In the House, progressives lost two key races in Oregon, while California voters picked a successor to Kevin McCarthy.

As usual, 538 reporters and contributors broke down the election results as they came in with live updates, analysis and commentary. Read our full live blog below.

Latest headlines:

Here's how the news is developing.
Meredith Conroy Image
May 21, 2024, 7:43 PM EDT

There are no Republican women running in Georgia's 3rd

The primary for the GOP nomination in Georgia's 3rd District is a competitive one! Its a safely red district, where an incumbent is not seeking reelection, but as I mentioned earlier on the liveblog, there aren't any Republican women among the field. In 2020, we watched where Republicans were nominating women and found that through the August races, only six out of 77 Republican women who had won GOP nomination won in a safe Republican seat. A whopping 49 of those women won in safe Democratic seats. In other words, they were winning primaries in places where they won't win in November. We'll be looking at whether this is the case in 2024, too.

—Meredith Conroy, 538 contributor

Monica Potts Image
May 21, 2024, 7:42 PM EDT

Scott leading in Georgia's 13th

With over a third of the expected vote in, incumbent Scott is leading in the Democratic primary in Georgia's 13th congressional district with 60 percent of the vote so far, according to the AP. The race is a microcosm of the issues affecting the entire Democratic Party, with his younger, newer challengers attacking his age, potential health and time in office. But the crowded field my split the vote against him.

—Monica Potts, 538

May 21, 2024, 7:40 PM EDT

Massie didn't get Trump's nod this time around

We've been tracking Trump's endorsements of House candidates, and despite getting an endorsement from the former president in 2022, this time around Trump withheld his nod. Massie was the only incumbent Republican in tonight's races that Trump did not endorse -- though Trump didn't endorse any of his opponents, either. As Tia alluded to, Trump and Massie haven't always gotten along in the past.

—Mary Radcliffe, 538

Tia Yang Image
May 21, 2024, 7:36 PM EDT

Massie and Rogers both cruise in Kentucky

Of Kentucky's five GOP incumbents, two tonight faced challengers, and both prevailed easily.

ABC News reports that Republican incumbent Rep. Thomas Massie — noted obstructionist and slinger of social media sass — will prevail over challengers Eric Deters and Michael McGinnis in Kentucky's 4th District. With around 58 percent of the expected vote reporting, he leads with 75 percent of the vote. Rep. Hal Rogers — who holds the title of House Dean, or longest serving member of the House of Representatives — had an even easier time in the 5th District. With around 52 percent of the expected vote reporting, he's garnered 81 percent.

While both these contests went as expected, Massie's did see some intrigue. Deters tried to get Massie thrown off the ballot earlier this year, and the incumbent has certainly made enemies within his own party with his hardline opposition to foreign spending and other legislation. AIPAC-affiliated ad spending in this House race was apparently intended to weaken him for potential future runs for higher office.

PHOTO: Thomas Massie  and Marjorie Taylor Greene during a press conference outside the Capitol in Washington, D.C., on May 1, 2024.
Thomas Massie and Marjorie Taylor Greene during a press conference outside the Capitol in Washington, D.C., on May 1, 2024.
Brendan Smialowski/AFP via Getty Images

P.S. If you're bored waiting for results, I highly recommend browsing the #sassywithmassie hashtag.

—Tia Yang, 538