Missouri, Michigan, Washington and Kansas primaries 2024: Cori Bush loses

The fields are set for Michigan's Senate and Missouri's governor contests.

By538 Staff via five thirty eight logo
Last Updated: August 6, 2024, 6:01 PM EDT

Three months out from the big November election, around a third of all states had yet to hold (non-presidential) primaries. On Tuesday, Democrats and Republicans in Missouri, Michigan, Washington and Kansas went to the polls to pick which candidates will appear on their ballots in the fall.

The electoral fate of a couple endangered House incumbents hung in the balance on this packed primary day. In Missouri, a progressive "Squad" member was defeated by centrist forces, and in Washington, one of only two remaining House Republicans who voted to impeach President Donald Trump was challenged by not one but two Trump-endorsed opponents from his right.

Meanwhile, both parties locked in their nominees for Michigan’s critical Senate race, and the outcomes of Republican primary contests are likely to determine Missouri’s next governor and attorney general. In battleground House districts, the fields were set for competitive fall contests, while in safe red and blue districts, ideological lines were drawn as candidates duke it out in primaries tantamount to election.

As usual, 538 reporters and contributors broke down the election results as they came in with live updates, analysis and commentary. Check out our full live blog below!

Latest headlines:

Here's how the news is developing.
Aug 06, 2024, 11:05 PM EDT

Friends and neighbors look to have boosted Onder enough over Schaefer

Monica, another factor for Onder is that he previously represented part of St. Charles County in the state Senate (just outside St. Louis), and that county came in really big for him: He leads Schaefer 63 percent to 22 percent there, per the AP. Schaefer got his own boost from his old turf around the state capital of Columbia in central Missouri, but St. Charles has contributed about a quarter of the primary vote, so it's no wonder that it reporting gave Onder the lead.

—Geoffrey Skelley, 538

Aug 06, 2024, 11:03 PM EDT

How do Michiganders like their ice cream?

Since Wayne County is taking a while to get their results reported, how about some silly Michigan polling? According to a mid-July survey from Public Policy Polling and Progress Michigan, 51 percent of Michiganders prefer "regular hard ice cream," while 23 percent prefer "soft serve ice cream." Sixteen percent apparently aren't fans of the president's favorite treat: They told the pollster they prefer neither type of ice cream. An additional 10 percent were not sure.

Of course, the president himself, a notorious ice cream lover, is reported to favor Graeter's chocolate chip, a hard ice cream from Cincinnati.

—Mary Radcliffe, 538

Aug 06, 2024, 11:02 PM EDT

Onder pulls ahead in Missouri's 3rd

With 91 percent of the expected vote counted, Onder has pulled ahead of Schaefer in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District, according to the AP. He has 45 percent compared to Schaefer's 39 percent so far. Onder has the conservative energy and backing in this deep red district, and it looks like election-day voters, whose votes were counted later, came out strongly for him.

—Monica Potts, 538

Aug 06, 2024, 11:01 PM EDT

Checking in on candidates of color

Checking in on our candidates of color tracker, incumbents like Davids and Tlaib were uncontested and projected to win their nominations by the AP. Reddy is projected to win and face Davids in the fall in Kansas's 3rd, while long-shot candidates like Harper Hill lost his bid for the Democratic nomination for Michigan's U.S. Senate seat and Ghanim failed in his challenge against Stevens in Michigan's 11th. The race against Bush and Bell, who are both Black, in Missouri's 1st is a big race that's too close to call.

—Monica Potts, 538