Democrats cut into Republicans’ already narrow House majority.
Democrat Tom Suozzi has won the special election in New York’s 3rd District, defeating Republican Mazi Pilip to flip a House seat from red to blue. (The seat was formerly held by Republican Rep. George Santos, who was expelled from Congress in December after a series of scandals.) As a result, Republicans’ already narrow House majority has been reduced to 219-213.
Throughout the night, 538 reporters, analysts and contributors have been live-blogging the results in real time and breaking down what (if anything) they mean for November. Read our full analysis below.
I've been watching TV coverage of this election for a couple hours now and one of the joys has been the quality and quantity of Long Island accents. Ope, and now they're cheering the expiration of the SALT deduction cap! Welcome to the most tri-state night in TV news.
—Galen Druke, 538
In the contest everyone is really here to talk about, the special election to fill Oklahoma's 39th state House district, Republicans are only narrowly escaping embarrassment in a district Trump carried by 26 points in 2020. The Edmond-based seat was vacant following the GOP incumbent's resignation over a DUI (scandal penalty, anyone?), and Republican attorney Erick Harris is leading Democratic accountant Regan Raff just 50 percent - 45 percent, according to Decision Desk HQ.
—Jacob Rubashkin, Inside Elections
Nathaniel, I wonder how much he could charge for a Big Board-style elections analysis on Cameo. I'd put my money on 538 dollars.
— Brittany Shepherd, ABC News
—Nathaniel Rakich, 538
