New York 3rd District special election: Suozzi projected to defeat Pilip

Democrats cut into Republicans’ already narrow House majority.

By538 and ABC News via five thirty eight logo
Last Updated: February 13, 2024, 7:00 PM EST

Democrat Tom Suozzi has won the special election in New York’s 3rd District, defeating Republican Mazi Pilip to flip a House seat from red to blue. (The seat was formerly held by Republican Rep. George Santos, who was expelled from Congress in December after a series of scandals.) As a result, Republicans’ already narrow House majority has been reduced to 219-213.

Throughout the night, 538 reporters, analysts and contributors have been live-blogging the results in real time and breaking down what (if anything) they mean for November. Read our full analysis below.

Latest headlines:

Here's how the news is developing. All times Eastern.
Brittany Shepherd Image
Feb 13, 2024, 10:00 PM EST

There's no place like home

Also, some local color: Pilip's returns party is in NY-04. Every event I saw her at last week was ... also in D'Esposito's district. Suozzi's returns party is being held close to my heart, where I had my high school father-daughter fashion show and, if I recall correctly, my first break up. Or at least the beginning of the end. One chapter closes for me, another might start for NY-03.

—Brittany Shepherd, ABC News

Galen Druke Image
Feb 13, 2024, 9:59 PM EST

More Long Island accents, please

I've been watching TV coverage of this election for a couple hours now and one of the joys has been the quality and quantity of Long Island accents. Ope, and now they're cheering the expiration of the SALT deduction cap! Welcome to the most tri-state night in TV news.

—Galen Druke, 538

Jacob Rubashkin Image
Feb 13, 2024, 9:57 PM EST

A near-upset in Oklahoma?

In the contest everyone is really here to talk about, the special election to fill Oklahoma's 39th state House district, Republicans are only narrowly escaping embarrassment in a district Trump carried by 26 points in 2020. The Edmond-based seat was vacant following the GOP incumbent's resignation over a DUI (scandal penalty, anyone?), and Republican attorney Erick Harris is leading Democratic accountant Regan Raff just 50 percent - 45 percent, according to Decision Desk HQ.

—Jacob Rubashkin, Inside Elections

Brittany Shepherd Image
Feb 13, 2024, 9:56 PM EST

He works hard for the money

Nathaniel, I wonder how much he could charge for a Big Board-style elections analysis on Cameo. I'd put my money on 538 dollars.

Brittany Shepherd, ABC News