New York 3rd District special election: Suozzi projected to defeat Pilip

Polling a special election is already tough. Add in a snowstorm, and it's even tougher.

Turnout in a regular general election — where comparable data comes out in every congressional election, every two years — is much easier to gauge than turnout in a special election. We just don't have comparable data for how voters behave when a vacancy is being filled in February of a presidential year. As Elliot pointed out before polls even closed, the few public polls of the race found Suozzi with a narrow lead, but one within those polls' margin of error.

The point is: If the polls are off tonight — and I'm not predicting that they will be — it doesn't mean they'll be off in November.

—Leah Askarinam, 538

Also, some local color: Pilip's returns party is in NY-04. Every event I saw her at last week was ... also in D'Esposito's district. Suozzi's returns party is being held close to my heart, where I had my high school father-daughter fashion show and, if I recall correctly, my first break up. Or at least the beginning of the end. One chapter closes for me, another might start for NY-03.

—Brittany Shepherd, ABC News

I've been watching TV coverage of this election for a couple hours now and one of the joys has been the quality and quantity of Long Island accents. Ope, and now they're cheering the expiration of the SALT deduction cap! Welcome to the most tri-state night in TV news.

—Galen Druke, 538

In the contest everyone is really here to talk about, the special election to fill Oklahoma's 39th state House district, Republicans are only narrowly escaping embarrassment in a district Trump carried by 26 points in 2020. The Edmond-based seat was vacant following the GOP incumbent's resignation over a DUI (scandal penalty, anyone?), and Republican attorney Erick Harris is leading Democratic accountant Regan Raff just 50 percent - 45 percent, according to Decision Desk HQ.

—Jacob Rubashkin, Inside Elections