New York 3rd District special election: Suozzi projected to defeat Pilip

Despite what looks to be a relatively comfortable win for Democrats tonight, our entire conversation tonight only emphasizes how closely the country is divided on partisan lines.

As Nathaniel said, Republicans have a razor thin majority in the House, and Democrats will be fighting to keep their majority in the Senate this fall. It's early, but we expect the presidential election to be close. Whatever happens in any individual race, politics in the country remains deeply divided. We'll keep seeing more evidence of that the closer we get to November.

—Monica Potts, 538

I don't even think you need to think this election is predictive of November to think it's a big deal. Republicans are sweating every vote they take in the House these days, as we saw today with the Mayorkas impeachment vote. And now Democrats will have an extra "nay" on their side. I think Republicans may come to regret the fact that they let Democrats outspend them here.

—Nathaniel Rakich, 538

I’m happy to be back (from maternity leave, in case anyone wondered), blogging and staring at election results with this crew well after the sun has set. Looking forward to the long election season ahead!

—Kaleigh Rogers, 538

OK, OK, we all agree! There's even a caveat to Kaleigh's point about what the race can tell us about this district alone in November — the district lines may very well change due to redistricting by then.

Anyway, it's not even 11:30, and we're already getting ready to wrap up. Hit us with your final thoughts! What does everyone think is the biggest takeaway from Suozzi's win tonight?

—Tia Yang, 538