Pennsylvania primaries 2024: Lee and Fitzpatrick survive, matchups set for November

Given the way Pennsylvanians feel about the economy in the commonwealth, Tia, whoever makes the ballot in the state treasurer race may have their work cut out for them. Pennsylvania voters are more optimistic about the direction of the U.S. economy than voters in other swing states, according to a GBAO/Fabrizio Lee/Wall Street Journal poll from March. Thirty percent of Pennsylvanians said the U.S. economy has gotten better in the last two years, the highest of the seven swing states surveyed. However, voters are less happy with how things are going in the commonwealth; just 20 percent said that the Pennsylvania economy has gotten better over the last two years, fewer than all but one of the states included in the survey (Arizona, in which 19 percent said things had gotten better).

—Mary Radcliffe, 538

ABC News has projected that Dave Sunday will win the Republican nomination for attorney general and will run for the open seat in November. Sunday currently has 66 percent of the vote, with 31 percent of the expected vote reporting. On the Democratic side, Eugene DePasquale is leading with 39 percent, and 54 percent of the expected vote reporting.

—Monica Potts, 538

In one of tonight's competitive statewide races, Pittsburgh-area small business owner Erin McClelland is in the lead over Erie State Rep. Ryan Bizzarro on the back of the mail-in vote from Allegheny County. With around 40 percent of the expected vote in, McClelland is leading with around 57 percent to 43 percent of the vote, according to the state election returns site. Bizzarro may close in on this lead, since he's doing better in other parts of the state — but he's only barely in the lead there as well. (For example, he's up by less than 3 points in Philly and losing by 8 points in Bucks.)

Bizzarro has the state party's nomination and state campaign finance reports show that he outspent McClelland $348,000 to $23,000 in the cycle! This is an impressive showing. It may say something about regional power dynamics in the state, since Bizzarro is one of the few candidates in today's statewide contests who doesn't hail from either the Philly or Pittsburgh regions.

—Tia Yang, 538

ABC News reports that Lee is projected to defeat Patel in the 12th District Democratic primary. She currently leads 59 percent to 41 percent with 73 percent of the expected vote reporting. Lee is the first member of the progressive group of House members known as The Squad to face a primary challenge this cycle, but she's turned back her opposition. She will be easily favored to win in November in a seat that Biden would've carried by 20 points in 2020.

—Geoffrey Skelley, 538