Democrats nearly won a safely Republican congressional seat.
June 11 was another packed primary day, as voters in South Carolina, Maine, North Dakota and Nevada weighed in on who will make the ballot this fall. We had our eyes on a slew of Republican primaries on Tuesday, including several competitive contests for U.S. House seats, as well as contests to pick Nevada's GOP Senate nominee and effectively pick the next governor of North Dakota.
In South Carolina, Rep. Nancy Mace's Trumpian pivot didn't cost her, as she handily fended off an establishment-aligned primary challenger. Fellow incumbent Rep. William Timmons, who was looking vulnerable after an infidelity scandal, also came out ahead in a closer race against his right-wing challenger. In North Dakota's At-Large Congressional District, Julie Fedorchak became the first non-incumbent woman this cycle to win a GOP primary for a safely red seat. In Nevada, Republican voters chose Sam Brown as their candidate to challenge incumbent Democratic Sen. Jacky Rosen this fall.
Finally, a special election is set to give House Republicans one more seat of breathing room, as voters in Ohio's 6th District filled the seat vacated by Rep. Bill Johnson's departure in January — though not without some unexpected suspense.
As usual, 538 reporters and contributors broke down the election results as they came in with live updates, analysis and commentary. Read our full live blog below.
It's 8 p.m. Eastern, and polls are now closed in Maine and most counties in North Dakota. (Voting hours in the Peace Garden State vary by municipality, with polls largely closing at either 8 p.m. or 9 p.m. Eastern.) We'll be bringing you results from races in both these states shortly.
—Tia Yang, 538
And remember, Nathaniel, Rulli was the more moderate of the two GOP candidates vying to replace former Rep. Bill Johnson in Congress. His opponent, state Rep. Reggie Stoltzfus, attacked him for his position on gay rights and made a big deal over his past as a "self proclaimed raging liberal" in the 1990s.
—Jacob Rubashkin, Inside Elections
With 16 percent of the expected vote counted in Ohio’s 6th District, Democrat Michael Kripchak is actually leading Republican Michael Rulli 62 percent to 38 percent, despite the district’s dark-red hue. Now, don’t get too excited, Democrats: Ohio counts early and absentee ballots first, and those, of course, skew toward Democrats. Still, some of these numbers are very impressive for Kripchak. For example, he won the early/absentee vote in Jefferson County, which voted for Trump by 39 points, 61 percent to 39 percent. Rulli is still favored here because this district is SO red, but this bears watching …
—Nathaniel Rakich, 538
As Geoffrey mentioned earlier, the Republican primary for governor in North Dakota between Rep. Kelly Armstrong and Lt. Gov. Tammy Miller has been combative. It could also be historic if Miller were to come out ahead. North Dakota is one of 18 states that has never had a female governor. Right now there are more women serving as governors than at any other time — just 12. Of those 12, only four are Republican — Govs. Noem of South Dakota, Huckabee Sanders of Arkansas, Ivey of Alabama and Reynolds of Iowa.
—Meredith Conroy, 538 contributor
