California has 9 U.S. House races with noteworthy primaries
We're watching nine U.S. House primaries in California, five in seats that are broadly viewed as potentially competitive in November.
We'll start with the 22nd District in the Central Valley. Republican Rep. David Valadao faces a primary rematch with two of his 2022 opponents, former state Assemblymember Rudy Salas (a Democrat) and businessman Chris Mathys (a Republican). Valadao, who voted to impeach Trump after Jan. 6, only narrowly advanced to the general election ahead of Mathys before narrowly defeating Salas in November. Joining this year is Democratic state Sen. Melissa Hurtado, who could split the Democratic vote enough to give Republicans a shot at claiming both general election spots.
Hotly contested race for Senate in California
Four other competitive seats are partly or wholly in Orange County. First, the open 47th District is a top GOP target. Republicans have mostly rallied behind Scott Baugh, who lost this seat by only 3 points in 2022. Baugh looks likely to face one of two Democrats, state Sen. Dave Min or attorney Joanna Weiss, who are in an ugly fight for second place. Min has endorsements from Porter and the state party, but his position was weakened when he was cited for driving under the influence last May. Weiss has a slight fundraising edge, raising $2.2 million to Min's $1.7 million, and she's also received far more outside support. Next door in the 45th District, Republican Rep. Michelle Steel will likely advance with one of two Democrats. Army veteran and attorney Derek Tran has led the way in fundraising with $647,000, and has earned endorsements from VoteVets and AAPI Victory Fund, while Garden Grove City Councilmember Kim Nguyen-Penaloza has raised $315,000, and has backing from the state party, the Congressional Hispanic Caucus's BOLD PAC and labor groups.
Nearby in the 40th District, Republican Rep. Young Kim is contending with two Democrats: retired Orange County Fire Capt. Joe Kerr and Tustin school board member Allyson Muñiz Damikolas. Kerr has raised $1.1 million to Damikolis's $550,000, but Kerr has self-funded much of his haul. Kerr has Gov. Gavin Newsom's endorsement as well as backing from various labor groups, while Damikolas has support from EMILY's List, BOLD PAC and 314 Action. To the south, four mostly self-funding Republicans are vying to take on Democratic Rep. Mike Levin in the 49th District. Advertising executive Margarita Wilkinson has loaned her campaign $1.5 million of the $1.8 million she's raised, while car dealership owner Matt Gunderson has self-funded $700,000 of his $1.2 million total. The same is true of the other two candidates, Marine veteran Kate Monroe and auto-industry executive Sheryl Adams, who've raised less than $400,000 each.
The remaining races are in safe seats, where it's possible — even likely — that two candidates from the same party will advance to November. Jacob will have more on those races shortly, and you can read about them in our full California (and Alabama) race preview from last week.
—Geoffrey Skelley, 538