-- On Sept. 21 at the Nexus Conference, an intimate gathering in Aspen, Colorado, focused on decentralized and disruptive technologies, millionaire investor Roger Ver made an unexpected announcement: He has helped raise over $100 million to purchase sovereign territory from a to-be-determined government and start a sovereign country.
“We already have more than $100 million of private capital committed to this,” Ver told the crowd. “And that’s just the start. To make it clear -- the lawyers have told me to make it clear -- that this is not an ICO.”
While providing few details on potential locations for his sovereign country, who the investors are, and giving a vague timeline of maybe within 10 years for Free Society come about, Ver repeated one phrase throughout his presentation: “This is not an ICO!”
What is an ICO?
Since Bitcoin was born in the aftermath of the financial collapse of 2008, several new cryptocurrencies have entered the fray, including Ethereum, Litecoin, the intentionally goofy Dogecoin, along with many others. Currently, the cryptocurrency market cap is worth in excess of $150 billion.
Ethereum’s technology has been essential to the process of setting up an ICO. For a start-up seeking funds, it’s now very easy to create a token using the Etherum blockchain and quickly aggregate large amounts of money. For an ICO investor, the hope is for a major return. And ideally a fast one, perhaps at the breakneck pace that Bitcoin has grown in value this year -- quadrupling in the past six months to be worth over $4,000 per coin.
Charles Hoskinson, the former CEO of Ethereum, who now runs the tech firm Input Output HK, told ABC News that for venture capitalists to the curious everyman investor, deciding on whether to buy into an ICO is a matter of looking under the hood.
“From a certain lens, ICOs give people more access to capital markets, and give people the ability to raise money in unorthodox ways -- people who had been excluded from the prior systems,” he said. “Through another lens, this new freedom can, and has, been exploited for fraud and scams.”
Some coin offerings are solid. If a startup launching an ICO has done its due diligence -- ensured what it is selling is not a security, sought legal opinions, and constructed a fair and transparent model -- it’s likely in good shape.
Others ICOs can be a bit thin. It’s rather quick and simple to crib the code of another cryptocurrency, put the concept down on a hastily written white paper, hype it, and raise hundreds of millions of dollars. But given the array of circumstances and questionable vetting of some coin offerings, the current flurry of ICO launches has created a buyer beware situation, Hoskinson says.
“You have to look at things like, what incentive do the founders have to stick around long term?” he explains. “What are their technical skills, what are the jurisdictions they’re aggregating in, what is the law they are under? How long did they spend building up this project, and where did these concepts come from?”
For many of 2017’s ICO launches, hype has been a key factor. One common fundraising method is touting names of rockstar industry advisors, who can lend a sense of legitimacy to a particular coin offering. However, some of the big names in the industry are so-called advisors for many ICOs, Hoskinson says -- and are compensated for lending their name.
“It’s basically a confidence game,” Hoskinson says. “They’re saying, ‘hey, we have big people, give us a lot of money. But we don’t want to use these people. Is it really about the product, or the [funding] raise?”
ICOs and the law
Whether the current boom for ICO fundraising will continue in the United States, and in other major global markets, remains to be seen. A key appeal of ICOs is bypassing banks and venture capital firms to raise money. But in July, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) issued a bulletin highlighting potential risks of participating coin offerings.
“Depending on the facts and circumstances of each individual ICO, the virtual coins or tokens that are offered or sold may be securities,” the SEC said. “If they are securities, the offer and sale of these virtual coins or tokens in an ICO are subject to the federal securities laws.”
The bulletin went on to warn that scammers will use innovations and new technology -- like cryptocurrency and blockchains -- can be used to perpetrate fraud. “It is relatively easy for anyone to use blockchain technology to create an ICO that looks impressive, even though it might actually be a scam,” the agency warned.
More recently, a chain reaction of ICO bans is sweeping across Asia. In announcing China’s ban on Sept. 4, the Bank of China, along with six other government organizations, said that ICOs are unauthorized and illegal, and recommended that anyone or company that has completed ICO fundraising should return the funds.
South Korea followed suit last week, banning all cryptocurrency-based fundraising. "There is a situation where money has been flooded into an unproductive and speculative direction," said Kim Yong Beom, vice chairman of the South Korea’s Financial Services Commission, according to Yonhap News.
And in Taiwan, a legislature with the country’s Nationalist opposition party told the Financial Times that he is cautious after China and South Korea’s bans were announced, as he believes cryptocurrency -- which he, like many, sees as linked to drugs and crime -- may now then flow into Taiwan. Jason Hsu told the FT that during a joint session of parliament and cabinet next week he will ask Taiwan’s financial commission to look into ICO regulation.
These abrupt restrictions, and the looming threat of an SEC crackdown, have led to a chilling effect in the cryptocurrency world. After China began its clampdown, the value of Bitcoin dropped around 20 percent -- though it has since mostly rebounded. And if the SEC announces a ban, companies are likely to bring their businesses to friendlier shores, Hoskinson says.
“Regulation could actually damage the industry’s ability to grow… slow it down, and change who are the winners and losers,” Hoskinson said. “If this technology is here to stay, [countries like] Switzerland will become the new Silicon Valley of the space -- and America and others will actually fall behind, and lose this technological marvel.”
Some look at this trend and see a bubble ready to pop, as ICO funding teeters at dizzying heights. This includes Vitalik Buterin, who also helped create Ethereum -- he recently told the website Financial Magnates that investor are growing increasingly confident in coin offerings, and that the market is “growing at a rate that makes it hard to control.” If the bubble bursts, or this Wild West of fundraising is slapped with strict regulations, which coins and companies will survive is anyone's guess.
Others, like Ver and many at the Nexus conference, see cryptocurrencies as a means to change the world -- or at least create a free market paradise in their own vision.
“Before the invention of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies, this sort of thing wouldn’t even have been possible,” Ver said of his Free Society project. “Bitcoin enabled this -- this is the next step after Bitcoin.”