Your Voice Your Vote 2024

Arizona Exit Poll: Senate

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What are exit polls?

Exit polls are surveys conducted on Election Day at polling places across the country. People are asked who they voted for and what issues mattered most to them.


Learn more about exit polls and methodology.

Are you:

1,817 RespondentsDem.Rep.
Male
46% (tie)
49%49%
Female
54%
52%47%

Are you:

1,777 RespondentsDem.Rep.
White
63%
46%53%
Black
4%
--
Hispanic/Latino
27%
61%37%
Asian
3%
--
Other
4%
--

Are you:

1,777 RespondentsDem.Rep.
White
63%
46%53%
Non-White
37%
58%38%

Sex by race

1,776 RespondentsDem.Rep.
White men
30%
44%55%
White women
32%
48%51%
Black men
2%
--
Black women
2%
--
Latino men
11%
66%33%
Latino women
16%
58%40%
All other races
7%
35%52%

In which age group are you?

1,810 RespondentsDem.Rep.
18-29
14%
72%26%
30-44
19%
46%49%
45-64
36%
50%49%
65 or over
31%
44%55%

To which age group do you belong?

1,810 RespondentsDem.Rep.
18-44
33%
57%40%
45+
67%
47%52%

In which age group are you?

1,810 RespondentsDem.Rep.
18-24
8%
--
25-29
6%
--
30-39
12%
52%41%
40-49
15%
45%54%
50-64
28%
49%50%
65 or over
31%
44%55%

Which best describes your education? You have:

1,809 RespondentsDem.Rep.
Never attended college
14%
44%55%
Attended college but received no degree
28%
46%50%
Associate's degree (AA or AS)
19%
53%47%
Bachelor's degree (BA or BS)
23%
53%46%
An advanced degree after a bachelor's degree (such as JD, MA, MBA, MD, PhD)
17%
58%41%

What was the last grade of school you completed?

1,809 RespondentsDem.Rep.
College graduate
40%
55%44%
No college degree
60%
48%50%

Education by race

1,765 RespondentsDem.Rep.
White college graduates
29%
54%45%
White non-college graduates
34%
40%60%
Non White college graduates
11%
59%39%
Non White non-college graduates
26%
58%38%

Education by White by Sex

1,765 RespondentsDem.Rep.
White women college graduates
13%
60%39%
White women non-college graduates
19%
40%60%
White men college graduates
15%
48%51%
White men non-college graduates
15%
40%60%
Non-whites
38%
58%38%

No matter how you voted today, do you usually think of yourself as a:

1,800 RespondentsDem.Rep.
Democrat
29%
99%1%
Republican
33%
10%90%
Independent or something else
39%
49%47%

On most political matters, do you consider yourself:

1,803 RespondentsDem.Rep.
Liberal
21%
97%2%
Moderate
43%
65%33%
Conservative
36%
7%91%

Is this the first year you have ever voted?

1,582 RespondentsDem.Rep.
Yes
7%
--
No
93%
51%48%

Do you think the condition of the nation's economy is:

1,583 RespondentsDem.Rep.
Excellent
6%
99%1%
Good
25%
94%5%
Not so good
26%
53%43%
Poor
42%
15%84%

Do you think the condition of the nation's economy is:

1,583 RespondentsDem.Rep.
Excellent or good
32%
95%4%
Not so good or poor
67%
30%68%

Compared to four years ago, is your family's financial situation:

1,580 RespondentsDem.Rep.
Better today
23%
92%6%
Worse today
52%
17%82%
About the same
25%
84%14%

How do you feel about the way things are going in the country today?

1,575 RespondentsDem.Rep.
Enthusiastic
6%
99%1%
Satisfied, but not enthusiastic
20%
93%4%
Dissatisfied, but not angry
35%
48%50%
Angry
38%
21%78%

How do you feel about the way things are going in the country today?

1,575 RespondentsDem.Rep.
Enthusiastic or satisfied
26%
94%3%
Dissatisfied or angry
73%
34%64%

Is your opinion of Kamala Harris:

1,575 RespondentsDem.Rep.
Favorable
45%
99%1%
Unfavorable
53%
9%88%

Is your opinion of Donald Trump:

1,575 RespondentsDem.Rep.
Favorable
47%
7%93%
Unfavorable
51%
91%6%

Do you have a favorable opinion of ...

1,575 RespondentsDem.Rep.
Only Harris
44%
100%-
Only Trump
45%
5%95%
Both
1%
--
Neither
7%
--

How do you feel about the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?

1,583 RespondentsDem.Rep.
Strongly approve
16%
100%-
Somewhat approve
27%
97%1%
Somewhat disapprove
9%
53%39%
Strongly disapprove
48%
8%91%

How do you feel about the way Joe Biden is handling his job as president?

1,583 RespondentsDem.Rep.
Strongly or somewhat approve
43%
98%1%
Strongly or somewhat disapprove
57%
16%82%

In the 2020 election for president, did you vote for:

1,823 RespondentsDem.Rep.
Joe Biden (Dem)
42%
94%4%
Donald Trump (Rep)
44%
8%91%
Other
3%
--
Did not vote
10%
--

Which ONE of these five issues mattered most in deciding how you voted for president? (CHECK ONLY ONE)

1,575 RespondentsDem.Rep.
Foreign policy
4%
--
Abortion
12%
77%19%
The economy
32%
24%74%
Immigration
17%
10%90%
The state of democracy
34%
88%10%

Which ONE of these four candidate qualities mattered most in deciding how you voted for president? (CHECK ONLY ONE)

1,575 RespondentsDem.Rep.
Has the ability to lead
32%
31%69%
Cares about people like me
18%
73%26%
Has good judgment
22%
77%21%
Can bring needed change
27%
37%62%

Which comes closest to your position? Abortion should be:

1,583 RespondentsDem.Rep.
Legal in all cases
33%
88%10%
Legal in most cases
32%
59%38%
Illegal in most cases
26%
4%96%
Illegal in all cases
5%
--

Which comes closest to your position? Abortion should be:

1,583 RespondentsDem.Rep.
Legal
66%
74%24%
Illegal
32%
5%95%

Should most undocumented immigrants in the U.S. be:

1,579 RespondentsDem.Rep.
Offered a chance to apply for legal status
55%
82%16%
Deported to the countries they came from
41%
9%90%

How confident are you that elections in your state are being conducted fairly and accurately?

1,498 RespondentsDem.Rep.
Very confident
34%
92%6%
Somewhat confident
33%
46%52%
Not very confident
20%
18%78%
Not at all confident
12%
2%97%

How confident are you that elections in your state are being conducted fairly and accurately?

1,498 RespondentsDem.Rep.
Confident
67%
70%29%
Not confident
32%
12%85%

Do you think democracy in the U.S. today is:

1,575 RespondentsDem.Rep.
Very secure
6%
64%30%
Somewhat secure
21%
59%38%
Somewhat threatened
36%
55%43%
Very threatened
36%
39%60%

Do you think democracy in the U.S. today is:

1,575 RespondentsDem.Rep.
Secure
27%
60%36%
Threatened
72%
47%52%

If the presidential candidate you supported loses your state's official vote count, should they:

1,498 RespondentsDem.Rep.
Challenge the results
29%
18%82%
Accept the results
67%
67%30%

Would you rather see the U.S. Senate controlled by:

1,498 RespondentsDem.Rep.
The Democratic Party
46%
98%1%
The Republican Party
49%
5%94%

In today's election for president, did you just vote for:

1,799 RespondentsDem.Rep.
Kamala Harris
48%
98%1%
Donald Trump
50%
5%94%

How did you vote on Proposition 139 which would add the right to an abortion to the Constitution of the State of Arizona?

1,732 RespondentsDem.Rep.
Yes
62%
79%20%
No
38%
9%90%

Population of area, three categories

1,823 RespondentsDem.Rep.
City over 50,000
46%
59%40%
Suburbs
49%
44%54%
Small city and Rural
4%
35%65%

Geo Stratum Code

1,823 RespondentsDem.Rep.
Maricopa Cty
61%
52%46%
Pima County
16%
62%37%
Rest of State
23%
41%58%