Iowa Preliminary Entrance Poll: President
Entrance and Exit Polls Explainer
Entrance and Exit polls are surveys conducted on Election Day outside of polling places in a sample of precincts across the country. Entrance Polls take place before voters enter a Caucus, whereas Exit Polls take place after voters leave a Primary. People are asked not only whom they voted for, but also what issues mattered most to them. For more details, read the Exit Polls Explainer.
For more information about the research methods, read the Exit Poll Methodology.
Are you:
(1,584 Respondents)
Candidate order
| Are you: | Trump | Haley | DeSantis | Ramaswamy | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Male (56%) 887 respondents | 49% | 19% | 21% | 10% | - |
Female (44%) 697 respondents | 53% | 20% | 22% | 5% | - |
In which age group are you?
(1,624 Respondents)
Candidate order
| In which age group are you? | Trump | Haley | DeSantis | Ramaswamy | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17-29 (9%) 146 respondents | 22% | 25% | 30% | 21% | - |
30-44 (14%) 227 respondents | 42% | 13% | 29% | 15% | 1% |
45-64 (35%) 568 respondents | 54% | 17% | 21% | 6% | - |
65 or over (41%) 666 respondents | 58% | 21% | 16% | 4% | - |
In which age group are you?
(1,624 Respondents)
Candidate order
| In which age group are you? | Trump | Haley | DeSantis | Ramaswamy | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17-24 (5%) 81 respondents | - | - | - | - | - |
25-29 (4%) 65 respondents | - | - | - | - | - |
30-39 (8%) 130 respondents | 36% | 17% | 25% | 21% | 1% |
40-49 (12%) 195 respondents | 50% | 12% | 28% | 8% | 1% |
50-64 (30%) 487 respondents | 55% | 17% | 21% | 5% | - |
65 or over (41%) 666 respondents | 58% | 21% | 16% | 4% | - |
To which age group do you belong?
(1,624 Respondents)
Candidate order
| To which age group do you belong? | Trump | Haley | DeSantis | Ramaswamy | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17-44 (23%) 374 respondents | 34% | 18% | 29% | 17% | - |
45+ (77%) 1,250 respondents | 56% | 19% | 18% | 5% | - |
Are you:
(1,612 Respondents)
Candidate order
| Are you: | Trump | Haley | DeSantis | Ramaswamy | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
White (98%) 1,580 respondents | 51% | 19% | 21% | 8% | - |
Black (0%) 0 respondents | - | - | - | - | - |
Hispanic/Latino (1%) 16 respondents | - | - | - | - | - |
Other (1%) 16 respondents | - | - | - | - | - |
Are you:
(1,612 Respondents)
Candidate order
| Are you: | Trump | Haley | DeSantis | Ramaswamy | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
White (98%) 1,580 respondents | 51% | 19% | 21% | 8% | - |
Non-White (2%) 32 respondents | - | - | - | - | - |
Which best describes your education? You have:
(1,608 Respondents)
Candidate order
| Which best describes your education? You have: | Trump | Haley | DeSantis | Ramaswamy | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Never attended college (17%) 273 respondents | 74% | 7% | 13% | 5% | - |
Attended college but received no degree (17%) 273 respondents | 63% | 8% | 18% | 11% | - |
Associate's degree (AA or AS) (14%) 225 respondents | 62% | 13% | 16% | 8% | - |
Bachelor's degree (BA or BS) (34%) 547 respondents | 43% | 23% | 25% | 7% | - |
An advanced degree after a bachelor's degree (such as JD, MA, MBA, MD, PhD) (17%) 273 respondents | 25% | 38% | 27% | 9% | - |
What was the last grade of school you completed?
(1,608 Respondents)
Candidate order
| What was the last grade of school you completed? | Trump | Haley | DeSantis | Ramaswamy | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
College graduate (51%) 820 respondents | 37% | 28% | 26% | 8% | - |
No college degree (49%) 788 respondents | 67% | 9% | 16% | 8% | - |
Education by race
(1,594 Respondents)
Candidate order
| Education by race | Trump | Haley | DeSantis | Ramaswamy | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
White college graduates (50%) 797 respondents | 36% | 29% | 26% | 8% | - |
White non-college graduates (47%) 749 respondents | 67% | 9% | 16% | 8% | - |
Non White college graduates (1%) 16 respondents | - | - | - | - | - |
Non White non-college graduates (1%) 16 respondents | - | - | - | - | - |
No matter how you voted today, do you usually think of yourself as a:
(1,614 Respondents)
Candidate order
| No matter how you voted today, do you usually think of yourself as a: | Trump | Haley | DeSantis | Ramaswamy | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democrat (2%) 32 respondents | - | - | - | - | - |
Republican (82%) 1,323 respondents | 54% | 15% | 24% | 7% | - |
Independent or something else (16%) 258 respondents | 42% | 34% | 8% | 12% | 2% |
On most political matters, do you consider yourself:
(1,610 Respondents)
Candidate order
| On most political matters, do you consider yourself: | Trump | Haley | DeSantis | Ramaswamy | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Very conservative (52%) 837 respondents | 61% | 5% | 26% | 7% | - |
Somewhat conservative (37%) 596 respondents | 47% | 25% | 18% | 9% | - |
Moderate (9%) 145 respondents | 20% | 63% | 7% | 7% | 3% |
Liberal (1%) 16 respondents | - | - | - | - | - |
On most political matters, do you consider yourself:
(1,610 Respondents)
Candidate order
| On most political matters, do you consider yourself: | Trump | Haley | DeSantis | Ramaswamy | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal (1%) 16 respondents | - | - | - | - | - |
Moderate (9%) 145 respondents | 20% | 63% | 7% | 7% | 3% |
Conservative (89%) 1,433 respondents | 55% | 14% | 23% | 8% | - |
On most political matters, do you consider yourself:
(1,610 Respondents)
Candidate order
| On most political matters, do you consider yourself: | Trump | Haley | DeSantis | Ramaswamy | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Conservative (89%) 1,433 respondents | 55% | 14% | 23% | 8% | - |
Moderate or liberal (11%) 177 respondents | 22% | 63% | 6% | 6% | 3% |
White evangelical or white born-again Christians
(1,625 Respondents)
Candidate order
| White evangelical or white born-again Christians | Trump | Haley | DeSantis | Ramaswamy | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
White evangelical or white born-again Christian (55%) 894 respondents | 53% | 13% | 27% | 7% | - |
All others (45%) 731 respondents | 49% | 27% | 13% | 9% | - |
Which ONE of these four issues mattered most in deciding whom to support today? (CHECK ONLY ONE)
(1,628 Respondents)
Candidate order
| Which ONE of these four issues mattered most in deciding whom to support today? (CHECK ONLY ONE) | Trump | Haley | DeSantis | Ramaswamy | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Foreign policy (12%) 195 respondents | 36% | 45% | 10% | 7% | - |
Abortion (11%) 179 respondents | 25% | 25% | 46% | 3% | - |
Immigration (34%) 554 respondents | 64% | 11% | 18% | 6% | - |
Economy (38%) 619 respondents | 52% | 16% | 19% | 11% | - |
Which ONE of these four candidate qualities mattered most in deciding whom to support today? (CHECK ONLY ONE)
(1,628 Respondents)
Candidate order
| Which ONE of these four candidate qualities mattered most in deciding whom to support today? (CHECK ONLY ONE) | Trump | Haley | DeSantis | Ramaswamy | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Shares my values (41%) 667 respondents | 43% | 13% | 31% | 12% | - |
Has the right temperament (11%) 179 respondents | 10% | 66% | 15% | 7% | 2% |
Fights for people like me (32%) 521 respondents | 82% | 4% | 10% | 5% | - |
Can defeat Joe Biden (14%) 228 respondents | 40% | 33% | 21% | 4% | - |
Would you favor or oppose a federal law banning most or all abortions nationwide?
(1,628 Respondents)
Candidate order
| Would you favor or oppose a federal law banning most or all abortions nationwide? | Trump | Haley | DeSantis | Ramaswamy | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Favor banning (61%) 993 respondents | 55% | 10% | 25% | 9% | - |
Oppose banning (35%) 570 respondents | 44% | 35% | 14% | 6% | 1% |
Do you think that Joe Biden legitimately won the presidency in 2020?
(1,628 Respondents)
Candidate order
| Do you think that Joe Biden legitimately won the presidency in 2020? | Trump | Haley | DeSantis | Ramaswamy | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes (29%) 472 respondents | 11% | 53% | 29% | 6% | - |
No (66%) 1,074 respondents | 69% | 5% | 17% | 9% | - |
Do you consider yourself part of the MAGA movement?
(1,628 Respondents)
Candidate order
| Do you consider yourself part of the MAGA movement? | Trump | Haley | DeSantis | Ramaswamy | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes (46%) 749 respondents | 78% | 3% | 11% | 8% | - |
No (50%) 814 respondents | 25% | 35% | 30% | 8% | - |
If Donald Trump were to be convicted of a crime, would you consider him fit to be president?
(1,628 Respondents)
Candidate order
| If Donald Trump were to be convicted of a crime, would you consider him fit to be president? | Trump | Haley | DeSantis | Ramaswamy | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes (65%) 1,058 respondents | 72% | 5% | 14% | 9% | - |
No (31%) 505 respondents | 10% | 49% | 33% | 6% | - |
When did you finally decide whom to support in today's caucus?
(1,628 Respondents)
Candidate order
| When did you finally decide whom to support in today's caucus? | Trump | Haley | DeSantis | Ramaswamy | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Just today (7%) 114 respondents | 31% | 23% | 25% | 11% | 2% |
In the last few days (13%) 212 respondents | 26% | 33% | 34% | 7% | - |
Earlier this month (15%) 244 respondents | 21% | 36% | 25% | 17% | - |
Before that (65%) 1,058 respondents | 66% | 12% | 17% | 5% | - |
Time: Last few days/Earlier than that
(1,628 Respondents)
Candidate order
| Time: Last few days/Earlier than that | Trump | Haley | DeSantis | Ramaswamy | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last few days (20%) 326 respondents | 28% | 29% | 31% | 9% | 1% |
Earlier than that (80%) 1,302 respondents | 58% | 16% | 18% | 7% | - |
Time: This month/Earlier than that
(1,628 Respondents)
Candidate order
| Time: This month/Earlier than that | Trump | Haley | DeSantis | Ramaswamy | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
This month (35%) 570 respondents | 25% | 32% | 29% | 12% | - |
Earlier than that (65%) 1,058 respondents | 66% | 12% | 17% | 5% | - |
Population of area, three categories
(1,628 Respondents)
Candidate order
| Population of area, three categories | Trump | Haley | DeSantis | Ramaswamy | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
City over 50,000 (30%) 488 respondents | 47% | 27% | 17% | 7% | - |
Suburbs (28%) 456 respondents | 47% | 15% | 27% | 9% | - |
Small city and Rural (41%) 667 respondents | 57% | 16% | 19% | 7% | - |
Geo Stratum Code
(1,628 Respondents)
Candidate order
| Geo Stratum Code | Trump | Haley | DeSantis | Ramaswamy | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Eastern Cities (22%) 358 respondents | 47% | 23% | 21% | 8% | - |
East Central (18%) 293 respondents | 58% | 16% | 17% | 8% | - |
Des Moines Area (26%) 423 respondents | 40% | 24% | 27% | 8% | 1% |
Central (18%) 293 respondents | 61% | 14% | 17% | 7% | - |
West (17%) 277 respondents | 58% | 15% | 19% | 7% | - |