Climate and environment updates: Global electricity demand projected to surge: Report

Electricity is essential for running most of our daily lives, and a recent report from the International Energy Agency (IEA) predicts that demand for it will continue to rise in the coming years. The IEA estimates that increases in industrial production, more air conditioning use and the expansion of global data centers will drive the fastest growth in global electricity demand, with an annual increase of around 4% through 2027.

Since 2009, electricity demand in advanced economies, like the United States, has remained relatively unchanged due to increases in efficiency and industrial restructuring. However, the recent expansion of high-consumption items like electric vehicles and data centers has triggered a resurgence in demand. Global electricity demand saw a sharp increase of 2.5% in 2023 and nearly doubled to 4.3% in 2024.

While advanced economies still consume most of the world’s total electricity, emerging and developing economies, led by China, are expected to account for 85% of global demand growth through 2027. According to the report, China is projected to account for more than half of these gains, with a year-over-year demand increase of about 6%.

The report emphasizes that the anticipated increase in consumption is unlikely to hinder global sustainability efforts because rapidly growing low-emission energy sources, such as renewables and nuclear energy, are expected to achieve record-high electricity generation and offset the additional global demand. Renewable energy sources, including solar wind and hydropower, are forecast to meet about 95% of the global electricity demand growth through 2027.

According to the IEA, renewable and nuclear energy sources are expected to surpass coal this year, accounting for more than one-third of global electricity generation. Because coal is a significant pollutant and the largest source of energy-related carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, climate organizations and environmental groups have long called for phasing it out as an energy source.

-ABC News meteorologist Dan Peck

Last year was not only the warmest on record, but also the first that the planet's global average surface temperature measured 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) warmer than the pre-industrial average from 1850-1900. That's according to data analyzed by the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S).

That wasn't the first time that the planet has hit the 1.5 degrees Celsius warming threshold in recent years. The 12-month global temperature average from February 2023 to January 2024 also crossed this threshold. And for the first time on record, 12 straight calendar months surpassed the warming threshold from July 2023 to June 2024.

A cap of 1.5 degrees Celsius was set as the goal for the Paris Agreement because most scientists believe it's the threshold for avoiding the worst impacts of climate change. Now, two new studies are warning that we are unlikely to meet this goal.

New research published in the journal Nature Climate Change found it's significantly likely that the world has already breached the 1.5 degree target. The study's authors investigated possible long-term warming scenarios based on various levels of greenhouse gas emissions and examined historical climate data, recent observations and modeling projections.

Another recent Nature Climate Change study analyzed warming trends over past decades and then applied their findings to future climate modeling projections. The authors concluded that the world would now only avoid exceeding the 1.5-degree goal by implementing very stringent emissions cuts.

Having one year, or even several years, that exceed the 1.5 degrees Celsius threshold isn't considered a failure to meet the Paris Agreement's goal since the agreement looks at the global temperature average over multiple decades. And while the 1.5 degrees Celsius threshold is largely symbolic, every fraction of a degree of warming increases the risk and compounds the challenges we face.

-ABC News meteorologist Dan Peck and ABC News climate unit's Matthew Glasser

If you spent any time outside last month, you know it was frigid. Now we know that it was, in fact, the coldest January for the United States since 1988, according to a new report from NOAA.

But our deep freeze at home wasn't enough to stop the planet from hitting another warming record. According to data analyzed by the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S), last month ranked as the warmest January globally. It's a reminder that the U.S. accounts for just a fraction of the planet's overall climate conditions.

In January, the average temperature of the contiguous U.S. was 29.2 degrees Fahrenheit, 0.9 degrees Fahrenheit below average. Below-average temperatures were observed across portions of the central and southern Rockies and much of the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast.

The contiguous U.S. also experienced its sixth-driest January on record. Precipitation was below average from the northern Plains to the Northeast and across much of the West.

The widespread, persistent, drier-than-average conditions in January brought expanding and intensifying drought to parts of the country.

According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor report, about 42.4% of the contiguous U.S. is experiencing drought conditions, an increase of about 4.3% since the end of December.

In recent weeks, much of the Southwest, parts of south-central Texas and portions of the Carolinas experienced expanding and/or intensifying drought conditions. In contrast, parts of the northern Rockies saw an improvement.

Alaska experienced its wettest January on record, breaking the previous record from 1949. Across the state, most of the precipitation fell as rain instead of snow as warmer-than-average temperatures dominated throughout the month. The Alaska statewide January temperature was 13.2 degrees Fahrenheit above the long-term average, ranking eighth-warmest in the 101 years of record for the state.

While we cannot directly attribute this to human-amplified climate change, in a warming world, more precipitation will fall as rain instead of snow, according to the Fifth National Climate Assessment.

-ABC News meteorologist Dan Peck

The Trump administration is pulling the plug, at least for now, on a U.S. Department of Transportation program that made it easier for states to install electric vehicle charging stations.

The National Electric Vehicle Infrastructure (NEVI) Formula Program provided federal funding to states for up to 80% of the cost to purchase and install non-proprietary EV chargers. The program also covered the operation and maintenance of the chargers and the cost of networking them to facilitate data collection.

In a letter to state transportation directors, the DOT said they were reviewing the program and "immediately suspending the approval of all State Electric Vehicle Infrastructure Deployment plans for all fiscal years."

The letter added that "effective immediately, no new obligations may occur under the NEVI Formula Program until the updated final NEVI Formula Program Guidance is issued and new State plans are submitted and approved."

According to the DOT letter, that new guidance will be released in the spring. Until then, the $5 billion included in the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law, one of former President Biden's signature achievements, will not be available.

The program aimed to build fast EV chargers available to all electric vehicles, regardless of model, and near major highways. According to data shared with The Washington Post by the data analytics firm Paren, 55 charging stations have been built so far.

NEVI projects already in the works can proceed as planned, according to the DOT letter.

-ABC News Climate Unit's Matthew Glasser