Examining the Iowa Caucus Track Record on Predicting Presidents

The Iowa caucuses have been the first major electoral event since the 1970s.

But in years past, just how good have Iowans been at predicting the President of the United States?

Democratic Party

President Obama returned to the Hawkeye State in 2012, and held the final rally of his re-election campaign.

“Iowa, in 2008 your voice changed the world,” Obama said, urging Iowans to help him finish what they started.

Republican Party

On the other side of the aisle, Iowa Republicans are ill-fated by a rather poor track record of predicting the eventual party nominee.