The Note: A Preview of the Down-Ballot Trump Effect




WHAT TO EXPECT FROM DONALD TRUMP'S 'MAJOR' IMMIGRATION SPEECH. Donald Trump has been talking about his immigration plans for weeks and now he's teasing a "major speech" he'll be giving on the topic this week. The speech comes after Trump and his campaign manager Kellyanne Conway gave differing statements about his plans during several appearances last week, writes ABC’s MEGHAN KENEALLY. Conway stepped further back from Trump's earlier suggestions of a deportation force during a television appearance this weekend, saying that he "is not talking about a deportation force." That contrasts with what he said earlier in the campaign.

HILLARY CLINTON'S LEAD CUT IN HALF IN NEW NATIONAL POLL. Hillary Clinton’s wide lead over Donald Trump in the race for the White House has been cut in half, according to a new national Monmouth University poll released Monday. The Democratic nominee held a wide 50 percent to 37 percent lead in the wake of her party’s convention in a Monmouth poll in early August, but now that lead appears to have tightened to 7 percentage points -- 46 percent to 39 percent among likely voters. But Trump still faces a statistically significant deficit with just 70 days remaining until Election Day, reports ABC’s RYAN STRUYK.

OBAMA HAS DEPORTED MORE PEOPLE THAN ANY OTHER PRESIDENT. Donald Trump’s immigration plan is set to be announced later this week. If previous comments are any indication, the Republican presidential contender said he plans to focus on deporting criminals, similar to the current strategy of the Obama administration. "On Day One, I am going to begin swiftly removing criminal illegal immigrants from this country," he said at Iowa Sen. Joni Ernst's Roast and Ride event Saturday in Des Moines, saying he would not focus on the 11 million undocumented residents who have lived in the U.S. for a long time without incident. ABC’s SERENA MARSHALL takes a look at some of the numbers.


DONALD TRUMP CALLS NFL QB COLIN KAEPERNICK'S ANTHEM PROTEST 'A TERRIBLE THING.' Donald Trump entered the debate over the controversial protest of football player Colin Kaepernick Monday, calling his refusal to stand during the national anthem "a terrible thing" and saying that perhaps the quarterback should consider living elsewhere. “I think it’s a terrible thing. Maybe he should find a country that works better for him. Let him try. It won’t happen,” said Trump during a radio interview in Seattle, notes ABC’s ADAM KELSEY.


@PhilipRucker: NYT ed board calls for immed end to foreign & corp contribs to Clinton Foundation, plus Bill & Chelsea to resign…

@apalmerdc: Playbook SCOOP: Cash for access to the Trump transition effort. Christie is hosting an intimate, 40-person "look inside." Price tag: $5,000

@fineout: Latest numbers when polls opened this morning: 1.75 million Floridians have already voted in primary. 538k early voting, 1.21 million mail

@JamesPindell: Donald Trump ads still missing from N.H. airwaves

@ryanstruyk: It's official: @GMA announces that @GovernorPerry will be on Dancing with the Stars this season. #DancingOnGMA