The Note: Trump still searching for Biden who isn’t

President Donald Trump still might have the campaign where he wants it.

October 23, 2020, 6:00 AM

The TAKE with Rick Klein

He's trailing in the polls, running low on cash and watching campaign aides scramble to avoid blame for impending defeat.

For all that, President Donald Trump still might have the campaign where he wants it. If that's the case, he still needs his opponent to be someone and something that he isn't quite -- or hasn't yet been, in the minds of voters who still mostly like him.

President Donald Trump raises his fist as he and first lady Melania Trump board Air Force One to depart Nashville International Airport after the final presidential debate in Nashville, Tenn., Oct. 22, 2020.
Mandel Ngan/AFP via Getty Images

The second and final debate was a study in contrasts from the first.

One thing that didn't change, though, was Trump's attempts to make former Vice President Joe Biden out as a corrupt and incompetent extremist. The plays that worked against Hillary Clinton, and may have worked against Bernie Sanders, have shown few signs of effectiveness against Biden.

Biden sought to bring the conversation back to bigger issues and called Trump "confused": "He thinks he's running against somebody else."

Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden speaks while President Donald Trump, shown in reflection, listens during the final presidential debate at Belmont University on Oct. 22, 2020, in Nashville, Tenn.
Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

The former vice president gave Trump some of what he wanted late in the debate, when he said he would "transition from the oil industry."

It's an easy and obvious line of attack for Republicans who want and need to frame Biden as a puppet of the far left. But redefining Biden will remain difficult -- even if the president found a way to stay on message from here.

The RUNDOWN with MaryAlice Parks

In a pre-COVID world, this is what the president's team had hoped to run on: "I'd have a transition from the oil industry, yes," Biden said in the final moments of the debate.

The president's eye almost glimmered. "There's a big statement," he said and it was easy to imagine his campaign starting to cut an ad with Biden's line.

"He's going to destroy the oil industry. Will you remember that, Texas?... Will you remember that, Pennsylvania, Oklahoma?" the president said underscoring Biden's line again, but Biden dug in too.

"It is a big statement," Biden repeated. "The oil industry pollutes significantly ... it has to be replaced by renewable energy over time, over time. And I'd stop giving to the oil industry. I'd stop giving them federal subsidies," Biden went on.

Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden prepares to board his campaign plane at Nashville International Airport on Oct. 22, 2020, in Nashville, Tenn.
Drew Angerer/Getty Images

Climate change continues to be one issue where Biden is more willing to embrace his left flank and run toward his base. During the debate over health care he reminded the president and viewers that he beat those Democratic candidates who were pushing a large-scale government-run overhaul of the insurance industry during the primary. But there are limits to what Biden is pitching when it comes to energy reform. He repeatedly said he was not interested in banning fracking and after the debate walked back some of his lines on transition away from fossil fuels.

"We're not getting rid of fossil fuels for a long time," he said talking to reporters before heading home. "Eventually we're going to have to go to -- but we're not getting rid of fossil fuels. We're getting rid of the subsidies of fossil fuels, but we're not getting rid of fossil fuels for a long time," Biden said.

Trump might be right that Biden's words on energy and oil could frighten voters already jittery on the economy, but if the president is really worried about holding Oklahoma or Texas at this stage than his nerves themselves are telling.

The TIP with Molly Nagle

With just 11 days left, Biden and a host of high-powered surrogates will fan out into key battleground states this weekend, shedding light on the campaign's focus in the final stretch. Biden and his wife will spend Saturday in Pennsylvania with stops in Bucks County, an area Hillary Clinton narrowly won in 2016, and Luzerne County, which Trump turned red. The trip follows former President Barack Obama's return to the trail in Philadelphia Wednesday -- perhaps a signal of how important and competitive Biden feels the Rust Belt state is to his campaign.

On Saturday, Biden will share the trail with Obama -- traveling to Florida to make his pitch -- and then with his running mate, Sen. Kamala Harris in Ohio, after her trip to Georgia on Friday. The choice of states signals a cautious optimism about the campaign's ability to not only win back key Rust Belt states that cost Democrats the election in 2016, but expand Biden's electoral map.

"We're going to see a robust focus on, of course, the trifecta states, but you -- you will see focus on Iowa and Arizona and North Carolina because you have to have a backup plan. We're not going to throw Florida away, which we're winning," campaign co-chair Rep. Cedric Richmond, D-La., said in an interview Thursday.

Former President Barack Obama addresses Biden-Harris supporters during a drive-in rally in Philadelphia, Oct. 21, 2020.
Alex Edelman/AFP via Getty Images

One state Biden has yet to visit in the general election is Texas, which the campaign identified as a place they could expand their map and recent polling shows a tight race.

"We don't want to concede Texas, it's just a very expensive place to compete, but we feel good about where we are," Richmond said ahead of the debate. "I still feel good about Texas."

THE PLAYLIST

ABC News' "Start Here" podcast. Friday morning's episode features a debate recap with ABC News Senior National correspondent Terry Moran and Deputy Political Director MaryAlice Parks. Then we check in Natasha David, who was forced to close her New York City bar as economic relief funding ran out. http://apple.co/2HPocUL

WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW THIS WEEKEND

  • Former South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg will be on ABC's "Good Morning America."
  • Former Vice President Joe Biden speaks in Wilmington, Delaware, Friday at 2:30 p.m. Saturday, Biden will travel to Bucks County and Luzerne County, Pennsylvania.
  • Vice President Mike Pence speaks at a campaign rally Friday in Swanton, Ohio, at 1 p.m. and in West Mifflin, Pennsylvania, at 4:30 p.m. Saturday, Pence will speak at rallies in Lakeland, Florida, at 3:30 p.m. and in Tallahassee, Florida, at 6:30 p.m.
  • President Donald Trump travels to Florida and speaks at campaign rallies in The Villages, Florida, at 4:30 p.m. and in Pensacola, Florida, at 7 p.m. On Saturday, Trump will speak at rallies in Lumberton, North Carolina, at 1:30 p.m., Circleville, Ohio, at 4 p.m. and Waukesha, Wisconsin, at 7 p.m. CT. Sunday, Trump will speak at a rally in Manchester, New Hampshire at 1 p.m.
  • Doug Emhoff will join canvas launches in Muskegon County, Michigan, at 1 p.m. and Ottawa County, Michigan, at 2:15 p.m. Friday. On Saturday, Emhoff will travel to New Hampshire and Maine.
  • Sen. Kamala Harris, D-Calif., travels to Atlanta on Friday for an early vote mobilization event at 5:10 p.m.
  • Former President Barack Obama will travel to Miami on Saturday to campaign for Biden and Harris.
  • Saturday is the first-ever Vote Early Day. Over the course of the day a nonpartisan group of more than 2,500 media companies, nonprofits, technology companies, election administrators and influencers will host virtual and in-person events to encourage Americans to vote early.
  • Sunday on ABC's "This Week": Co-Anchor Martha Raddatz reports from Philadelphia for the final installment of the "Six for the Win" series with analysis from former New Jersey Governor and ABC News Contributor Chris Christie and former Chicago Mayor and ABC News Contributor Rahm Emanuel. Plus, ABC News Chief Medical Correspondent Dr. Jennifer Ashton and former Trump Homeland Security and Counterterrorism Adviser and ABC News Contributor Tom Bossert join to discuss the latest on the COVID-19 pandemic and its worldwide effects. And ABC News Political Director Rick Klein, ABC News Political Analyst Matthew Dowd, and 6 ABC Philadelphia Anchor Tamala Edwards join the Powerhouse Roundtable.

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The Note is a daily ABC News feature that highlights the day's top stories in politics. Please check back Monday for the latest.

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