Langer: "Most Americans don't think gay marriage should be legal. But views on a constitutional amendment to ban it are a different matter – one that depends on how the issue and options are presented."
"On the first question, the latest data are from a Gallup poll in May: Fifty-eight percent said gay marriages should not be recognized as legally valid. That's about the same as it was in Gallup polls in April 2005 and August 2005 alike."
"Fewer people in Gallup's poll last month favored a constitutional amendment barring gay marriage: Fifty percent in favor, 47 percent opposed. But we [ask the question in a different way.]"
"The reason is that asking if people favor or oppose an amendment to do XYZ conflates views on the issue (in this case gay marriage) with views on an amendment to ban it. You can be opposed to gay marriage, but also think it should be something for the states to legislate – that it doesn't rise to the level of amending the Constitution. That option should be offered."
"We last asked it this way in April 2005: Whether people support a constitutional amendment on gay marriage, or think it should be left to the states. Just 39 percent supported an amendment."
As for the estate tax repeal, the pro-repeal Free Enterprise Fund begins airing television ads statewide in Washington, South Dakota, Louisiana, and Rhode Island today. The group plans to expand its buy to national cable on the Fox News Channel tomorrow.
President Bush also plans to meet with the President of the Republic of Congo (9:05 am ET), the Chinese Leadership Program fellows (10:10 am ET), and the President of Honduras today (11:05 am ET).
Tony Snow is scheduled to gaggle off-camera at 10:15 am ET and brief on-camera at 12:30 pm ET.
Rep. Nancy Pelosi (D-CA), Treasury Secretary Mineta, Sens. Kennedy and Kerry (D-MA), and others attend the 11:00 am ET Thomas P. "Tip" O'Neill tunnel dedication in Boston, MA.
Vice President Cheney attends a 6:00 pm ET RNC fundraiser in Lake Forest, IL at a private residence where 50 people are expected to attend and a total of $300,000 is the anticipated haul. LINK
First Lady Laura Bush visits Our Lady of Perpetual Help School in Washington, DC to award one of her foundation's grants to America's libraries.
Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-IA) meets with Treasury Secretary nominee Paulson at 5:30 pm ET and will likely talk to the press following the meeting.
At 11:00 am ET, the Center for Public Integrity, along with Northwestern University's Medill School of Journalism and American Public Media's "Marketplace," release results of an investigation into privately sponsored trips taken by members of Congress and their aides at George Washington University.
Sen. Hillary Clinton (D-NY) is expected to address over 1,000 supporters at an open press noon ET "New York Women for Hillary" fundraising luncheon in New York City.
Former President Clinton delivers the commencement address at Princeton University's Class Day at 10:30 am ET and then heads up to South Portland, ME to keynote a 5:30 pm ET fundraiser for Gov. John Baldacci's (D-ME) reelection campaign.
On this primary-eve day in the Hawkeye State, Gov. Tom Vilsack (D-IA) heads to his homeland. Vilsack is scheduled to address the American Wind Energy conference in Pittsburgh, PA at 9:10 am ET.