The Note: Polls Versus Guts

"The two nonprofits and the lobbying firm behind them have drawn the attention of the FBI. People associated with Alexander Strategy, who spoke on the condition of anonymity, said federal investigators have asked them whether the groups were conduits for a foreign government and a foreign corporation to finance congressional junkets."

"Doolittle spokeswoman Laura Blackann said last week that the congressman believed that his trip to Asia, in February 2005, was proper and that it had nothing to do with the earmarks. He said he paid out of his own pocket for some of the activities on Langkawi, such as the massages and watercraft rentals."

Republicans will helplessly Note the Joel Johnson (D-$) cameo.

2006: House: NM-01:

"We're not for cut-and-run, but there is something to be said for stop and think," Bill Clinton said while campaigning for Democratic House candidate Patricia Madrid and the rest of the New Mexico Democratic ticket. The Albuquerque Journal has the story. LINK

The Albuquerque Journal reports that First Lady Laura Bush will be in town today to give Rep. Heather Wilson (R-NM) a boost. LINK

2006: House: Indiana:

The Washington Times' Ralph Z. Hallow has Paul Weyrich blaming Republican ills on the Iraq war, saying that even Rep. Hostettler (who voted against the Iraq war) is going to go down to defeat "in blazes" along with fellow Hoosier Republicans Rep. Chris Chocola and Rep. Mike Sodrel. LINK

2006: House: NY-26:

Ben Smith of the New York Daily News writes up Foley damage control conference calls including aides to Rep. Tom Reynolds before the story broke on ABC News. LINK

2006: House: NY-20:

Brendan Lyons and Kenneth Crowe of the Albany Times Union report that Rep. John Sweeney (R-NY) continued to refuse to answer any questions Thursday about a domestic incident at his home last December and, by evening, failed to follow through on a promise to authorize the release of police records. LINK

Both Rep. Sweeney and Democrat Kirsten Gillibrand met with the Albany Times Union editorial board yesterday and the paper's Tim O'Brien writes that the 20th District opponents have many strong differences, especially on Iraq. LINK

2006: House: NH-01 & NH-02:

The Union Leader's indefatigable John DiStaso writes that a new WMUR/University of New Hampshire poll shows Democrat Carol Shea-Porter in a statistical dead heat with Rep. Jeb Bradley (R-NH) in the 1st district and Paul Hodes with an eight point advantage over Rep. Charlie Bass (R-NH) in the 2nd district, but Notes the poll's significant five-point margin of error. LINK

Albert McKeon of the Nashua Telegraph Notes that Bradley fared better in the poll, as he had a significantly larger lead among swing voters over his opponent than Bass did over his. LINK

New Hampshire a swing state? According to James Pindell of the Boston Globe that could very well be. LINK

In a sly move, Hodes made a surprise pit stop in the hometown of Rep. Bass yesterday, asking voters to "bring Charlie home again" on Tuesday. The Union Leader's Nancy Foster has more. LINK

Tom Fahey of the Union Leader reports that Granite State Secretary of State William Gardner is predicting close to a 48% voter turnout, the second highest on record for a non-presidential year. LINK

Kevin Landrigan of the Nashua Telegraph Notes that the highest turnout was in 2002. LINK

2006: House: KY-03:

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