SNEAK PEEK: Reaching for the Rolaids
Even with considerable investment, Giuliani has difficulties in N.H.
January 8, 2008— -- If Rudy Giuliani finishes near the bottom of the pack in New Hampshire, it will not be for a lack of trying.
According to an ABC News tally of his campaign events, the former New York mayor has held more campaign events in New Hampshire (126) than John McCain (104). The only G.O.P. candidate who has held more Granite State events than Hizzoner is Mitt Romney (176).
He also has made a substantial investment on television.
While Giuliani never went on the air in Iowa, he spent $2.5 million on New Hampshire television ads. It was only when his campaign saw that he was losing ground in the state that he scaled back his advertising and re-emphasized his commitment to Florida, which votes Jan. 29, and the more than 20 states which vote on Feb. 5.
Look for Giuliani to downplay tonight's results and focus on Florida. But back in November, the former New York mayor expressed little interest in putting a Sunshine State strategy to the test.
"'It is not inconceivable," Giuliani told The Washington Post's Dan Balz, "that you could, if you won Florida [after losing in the early states], turn the whole thing around. "'I'd rather not do it that way. That would create ulcers for my entire staff and for me. . . . We want to win as many of the early ones as possible. That's why we're here [New Hampshire] and not in Florida right now.'"
Campaign Events in New Hampshire through 1/8/08 (source: ABC News):
Romney: 176
Giuliani: 126
McCain: 104
Huckabee: 93
Paul: 47
Thompson: 12
Edwards: 139
Richardson: 137
Clinton: 100
Obama: 99
Television Spending in New Hampshire through 1/1/08 (source: C.M.A.G.)
Republicans:
Mitt Romney: $7.3 million
John McCain: $3.5 million
Rudy Giuliani: $2.5 million
Ron Paul: < $1 million
Mike Huckabee: $100,000
Fred Thompson: $0
Democrats:
Barack Obama: $4.5 million
Hillary Clinton: $4.5 million
John Edwards: $1.5 million
Bill Richardson: $500,000
New Hampshire results could reverberate in Nevada:
Tuesday's Democratic results in New Hampshire could reverberate in Nevada which is scheduled to hold its caucuses on Jan. 19.
At 11:00 pm ET, a 12-member panel which controls the 60,000-member Culinary Workers union will hold a conference call to decide which '08 candidate to endorse.