Can Murkowski Make History? Polls Show a Toss-Up in Alaska Senate Race

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None of the three candidates who lodged write-in campaigns in Alaska were successful. No Alaskan candidate for statewide office has won more than 27 percent in a write-in campaign, and nationally, only one U.S. Senator in history has been elected via a write-in campaign, according to an analysis by the Smart Politics blog.

Additionally, Murkowski -- despite being a member of the Republican leadership -- was denounced by the establishment when she announced her write-in campaign. National Republicans, at least on the surface, have put their support behind Miller instead.

What Murkowski does have going in her favor is that she is virtually a household name. Her father was a state senator and governor until 2006 and she was a member of the U.S. House of Representatives before becoming a senator.

"Of course a write-in can win," Moore said. "It just needs a situation where the will is there amongst the people and the money is there to educate them about the fact that it's happening."

McAdams has mainly stayed out of the fray, running what Moore calls a rather "folksy campaign" that focuses on Alaskan issues. But McAdams is constrained by lack of notoriety and a small Democratic base in a state that is predominantly red.

Murkowski, Miller and McAdams have all seen a surge in their coffers since the Alaska Senate race grabbed the national spotlight.

McAdams reportedly raised $650,000 since the GOP primary. While Murkowski raised less in the same time period, she has more than $1 million in her campaign coffers. Miller raised more than both his chief opponents combined, reportedly totaling more than $1 million.

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