2014 FIFA World Cup: What to Know in Matchday 11

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Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight Disputes Theory that American Players Don’t Dive or Flop Enough

This analysis doesn’t provide much support for the theory that American players don’t dive enough. It seems when they do dive, they’re just about as effective at drawing fouls as you’d expect, given whom they played against and how much they possessed the ball.”

Better to Be Lucky Than Good

Lionel Messi's dramatic goal not only saved Argentina, it also rescued a Las Vegas bettor from losing $350,000 (205,000 pounds). An unnamed bettor had wagered $230,000 on Argentina to beat Iran, placing the bet at a William Hill outlet at Las Vegas' Tuscany Casino. Such were the short odds of the bet that it would only return a profit of $20,000.

According to company spokesman Michael Grodsky, it was the largest wager on the World Cup taken by William Hill, but that did not stop the same customer from returning on Friday to put another $120,000 on the same outcome. That pushed the potential winnings up to $30,000, just less than 10 percent of the amount that would be lost if Iran upset the odds with a positive result - which was minutes away from happening when Messi scored - allowing one very relieved gambler to collect the winnings.

ESPN’s Darren Rovell first tweeted out the news of the wager.

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