Deep Deficit for the Republicans Reflects a Beleaguered President

Most broadly, just 18 percent say the Democrats in general are better than the Republicans when it comes to ethics and honesty, while 11 percent say the Republicans are better. Seventy percent instead say there's no difference between the two, and that's essentially the same as its pre-Foley levels.

Indeed, the scandal taps into longstanding skepticism of congressional ethics overall. Sixty-nine percent of Americans rate the ethics and honesty of Congress members negatively, again no worse than it was, for instance, last December. Better news on the re-election home front is that two-thirds, in contrast, give a positive rating to their own representative's conduct. That's actually improved from its level last May.

CONGRESS -- As far as Congress goes, current views seem to engendered more of an anti-Republican sentiment than an anti-incumbent one. Fifty-five percent of Americans say that most of the Democrats in Congress deserve re-election; just 39 percent, however, say the same of most Republican representatives.

The Democrats lead in public trust to handle each of seven areas tested in this poll, including terrorism (on which they've led or run competitively on and off the past year).

Their approval rating is 13 points higher than the Republicans rating, 48 percent to 35 percent. And 59 percent of Americans would like to see the Democrats take control of the House. Whether that happens is a soothsayer's game, and other results are more equivocal. While approval of Congress, as noted, is just 32 percent, it's been much lower -- 18 percent in October 1994, before that year's transformational election, and 17 percent in spring 1992, in the broad economic discontent that was soon to chase Bush's father from office.

Moreover, despite all the current discontent, 60 percent of Americans approve of the way their own representatives are handling their jobs, compared with a markedly lower 49 percent in October 1994.

TALK -- It is clear what the parties would like most Americans to talk about. Among people who call terrorism the most important issue in their vote, Republicans hold a 72-26 percent lead in congressional vote preferences. Among those who say it's Iraq, the Democrats lead by a nearly identical 71-25 percent.

The Democrats also lead, by 59-35 percent, among registered voters who say their top issue is the economy. Iraq and the economy rank highest in a six-item list, followed by terrorism and health care (another strong issue for the Democrats).

Another subject for the Democrats is the president: Registered voters are twice as likely to say they'll cast their congressional vote to show opposition to Bush as to show support for him. Independents say so by an even larger margin of 3-1: Thirty-five percent voting to show their opposition to Bush, vs. 11 percent voting to show Bush their support.

That stands in sharp contrast to 2002, when voters showed support for Bush by 2-1; and from 1998, when Bill Clinton was in the thick of the Lewinsky scandal. Then 77 percent said Clinton wasn't a factor in their vote, compared with the 47 percent who say that about Bush now. The rest divided about evenly between supporting and opposing Clinton, another sharp difference from Bush-inspired voting today.

Even in the upheaval of 1994, 27 percent said they were voting to show opposition to Clinton, compared with today's 35 percent voting to oppose Bush. One factor: Bush's approval rating today is six points below what Clinton's was then, and his strong disapproval is 18 points below.

Click here for PDF version with full questionnaire and results.

Click here for more ABC News polls in our Poll Vault.

Page
  • 1
  • |
  • 2
Join the Discussion
You are using an outdated version of Internet Explorer. Please click here to upgrade your browser in order to comment.
blog comments powered by Disqus
 
You Might Also Like...