Election 2024 updates: With Arizona, Trump sweeps all 7 swing states

The final electoral college count is Trump: 312, Harris: 226.

By538 and ABC News via five thirty eight logo
Last Updated: November 9, 2024, 9:00 PM EST

Just days after former President Donald Trump was projected to have won the presidency, Trump's transition team operation has begun, with transition co-chairs confirming that he will be selecting personnel to serve under his leadership in the coming days.

Trump is also the projected winner in Arizona, a state the former president flipped after losing it to Joe Biden in 2020.

Trump's projected win in the vital swing state marks a sweep of the battleground states.

Dan Hopkins Image
Nov 05, 2024, 6:42 PM EST

Read reports of students' on-campus voting with caution

Here at the University of Pennsylvania in Philadelphia, turnout at the on-campus precincts is way up from 2020, and I know of at least a few students who skipped class to wait on the hour-long lines. But it's worth be cautious about how you interpret those results.

For one thing, the COVID-19 pandemic meant that there were far fewer students on campus four years ago, so it's hard to make direct comparisons. And we can't necessarily read these results as representative of the college-aged demographic: Fewer than half of 18- to 24-year-olds are enrolled in colleges, and some of those students live at home or off campus. So reports from campuses are important, but they don't tell us how young voters are reacting in general.

Meredith Conroy Image
Nov 05, 2024, 6:39 PM EST

Delaware is poised to elect its first female senator

According to a recent analysis by Pew Research Center, there are 17 states that have never had a female Senator. After today's races are called, women could be elected to the Senate for the first time in Delaware, Indiana, Utah, New Mexico and Rhode Island. Of these women, Lisa Blunt Rochester, a Democrat in Delaware, is most favored, winning 98 in 100 simulations in our forecast. The other women running to be their state’s first senator are all longshots in their respective races, but include Democrats Valerie McCray in Indiana and Caroline Gleich in Utah, and two Republicans: Nella Domenici in New Mexico and Patricia Morgan in Rhode Island.

The US Senate currently stands at just 25% female representation.

Nathaniel Rakich Image
Nov 05, 2024, 6:23 PM EST

Don't overreact to early returns

Here's a good example of overreacting to a small sample of results from another Indiana election ...

Nathaniel Rakich Image
Nov 05, 2024, 6:20 PM EST

We're getting the first results!

Results are starting to trickle in from the first few counties in Indiana and Kentucky! However, they're incomplete, and it's far too early to draw any conclusions from them. My general rule of thumb is to wait until at least 10% of the expected vote is reporting before taking those numbers seriously.